Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s

Equatorial central Pacific precipitation experienced a prominent decline in the late 1990s. This change was previously attributed to a La Niña-like mean sea surface temperature (SST) change in the Pacific Ocean associated with a phase switch of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Here, using a ser...

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Main Authors: Suqi GUO, Renguang WU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2019-09-01
Series:Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2019.1633230
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author Suqi GUO
Renguang WU
author_facet Suqi GUO
Renguang WU
author_sort Suqi GUO
collection DOAJ
description Equatorial central Pacific precipitation experienced a prominent decline in the late 1990s. This change was previously attributed to a La Niña-like mean sea surface temperature (SST) change in the Pacific Ocean associated with a phase switch of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Here, using a series of model experiments, the authors reveal that the El Niño-related interannual SST anomalies contributed largely to the precipitation decrease over the equatorial central Pacific. This El Niño SST effect was due to the change in the amplitude of El Niño events in the late 1990s. The 1980–98 decade had more large-amplitude El Niño events than the 1999–2014 decade. The nonlinear precipitation response to SST anomalies resulted in a larger decadal mean precipitation in the 1980–98 decade than in the 1999–2014 decade. The results highlight the importance of El Niño amplitude change in future climate change related to global warming.
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spelling doaj.art-05a32af769d54c53b2797861fc6835d92022-12-21T21:31:17ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters1674-28342376-61232019-09-0112535536010.1080/16742834.2019.16332301633230Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990sSuqi GUO0Renguang WU1Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of SciencesEquatorial central Pacific precipitation experienced a prominent decline in the late 1990s. This change was previously attributed to a La Niña-like mean sea surface temperature (SST) change in the Pacific Ocean associated with a phase switch of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Here, using a series of model experiments, the authors reveal that the El Niño-related interannual SST anomalies contributed largely to the precipitation decrease over the equatorial central Pacific. This El Niño SST effect was due to the change in the amplitude of El Niño events in the late 1990s. The 1980–98 decade had more large-amplitude El Niño events than the 1999–2014 decade. The nonlinear precipitation response to SST anomalies resulted in a larger decadal mean precipitation in the 1980–98 decade than in the 1999–2014 decade. The results highlight the importance of El Niño amplitude change in future climate change related to global warming.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2019.1633230Tropical Pacific precipitation declineInterdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase switchinterannual SST effectlarge-amplitude El Niño events
spellingShingle Suqi GUO
Renguang WU
Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Tropical Pacific precipitation decline
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase switch
interannual SST effect
large-amplitude El Niño events
title Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
title_full Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
title_fullStr Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
title_full_unstemmed Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
title_short Contribution of El Niño amplitude change to tropical Pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
title_sort contribution of el nino amplitude change to tropical pacific precipitation decline in the late 1990s
topic Tropical Pacific precipitation decline
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase switch
interannual SST effect
large-amplitude El Niño events
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2019.1633230
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AT renguangwu contributionofelninoamplitudechangetotropicalpacificprecipitationdeclineinthelate1990s