Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population

Background: Relative accuracy of the various currently available cardiovascular (CV) risk assessment algorithms in Indian patients is not known. Methods: This study included 194 consecutive patients (mean age 49.6 ± 10.3 years, 84.5% males) attending a CV disease prevention clinic at a tertiary cent...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Manish Bansal, Ravi R. Kasliwal, Naresh Trehan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2015-07-01
Series:Indian Heart Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019483215001054
_version_ 1818732913821220864
author Manish Bansal
Ravi R. Kasliwal
Naresh Trehan
author_facet Manish Bansal
Ravi R. Kasliwal
Naresh Trehan
author_sort Manish Bansal
collection DOAJ
description Background: Relative accuracy of the various currently available cardiovascular (CV) risk assessment algorithms in Indian patients is not known. Methods: This study included 194 consecutive patients (mean age 49.6 ± 10.3 years, 84.5% males) attending a CV disease prevention clinic at a tertiary center in north India. Four risk assessment models [Framingham Risk score (RiskFRS), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association pooled cohort equations (RiskACC/AHA), the 3rd iteration of Joint British Societies' risk calculator (RiskJBS) and the World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension risk prediction charts (RiskWHO)] were applied. The estimated risk scores were correlated with carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and coronary calcium score (CCS) using nonparametric statistics (Chi-square test, Kruskal–Wallis test and Spearman rank correlation). Results: Overall, RiskACC/AHA and RiskWHO significantly underestimated CV risk as compared to RiskJBS and RiskFRS, with RiskJBS being the least likely to underestimate the risk (patients with coronary artery disease who were found to have ≥20% CV risk- 21.4% with RiskACC/AHA, 17.9% with RiskWHO, 41.4% with RiskFRS, and 58.6% with RiskJBS). Further, only RiskJBS and RiskFRS, but not RiskACC/AHA and RiskWHO, demonstrated consistent relationship with CIMT and CCS (Spearman rho 0.45 and 0.46 for RiskJBS and 0.39 and 0.36 for RiskFRS for CIMT and CCS respectively, all p values < 0.001). Conclusions: The present study shows that in Indian subjects RiskJBS appears to provide the most accurate estimation of CV risk. It least underestimates the risk and has the best correlation with CIMT and CCS. However, large-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.
first_indexed 2024-12-17T23:41:08Z
format Article
id doaj.art-05d58f5b60de4b2bae8ca213cea82892
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 0019-4832
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-17T23:41:08Z
publishDate 2015-07-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Indian Heart Journal
spelling doaj.art-05d58f5b60de4b2bae8ca213cea828922022-12-21T21:28:26ZengElsevierIndian Heart Journal0019-48322015-07-0167433234010.1016/j.ihj.2015.04.017Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian populationManish Bansal0Ravi R. Kasliwal1Naresh Trehan2Senior Consultant, Cardiology, Medanta – The Medicity, Gurgaon, IndiaChairman, Clinical and Preventive Cardiology, Medanta – The Medicity, Gurgaon, IndiaChairman, Cardiothoracic Surgery, Medanta – The Medicity, Gurgaon, IndiaBackground: Relative accuracy of the various currently available cardiovascular (CV) risk assessment algorithms in Indian patients is not known. Methods: This study included 194 consecutive patients (mean age 49.6 ± 10.3 years, 84.5% males) attending a CV disease prevention clinic at a tertiary center in north India. Four risk assessment models [Framingham Risk score (RiskFRS), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association pooled cohort equations (RiskACC/AHA), the 3rd iteration of Joint British Societies' risk calculator (RiskJBS) and the World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension risk prediction charts (RiskWHO)] were applied. The estimated risk scores were correlated with carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and coronary calcium score (CCS) using nonparametric statistics (Chi-square test, Kruskal–Wallis test and Spearman rank correlation). Results: Overall, RiskACC/AHA and RiskWHO significantly underestimated CV risk as compared to RiskJBS and RiskFRS, with RiskJBS being the least likely to underestimate the risk (patients with coronary artery disease who were found to have ≥20% CV risk- 21.4% with RiskACC/AHA, 17.9% with RiskWHO, 41.4% with RiskFRS, and 58.6% with RiskJBS). Further, only RiskJBS and RiskFRS, but not RiskACC/AHA and RiskWHO, demonstrated consistent relationship with CIMT and CCS (Spearman rho 0.45 and 0.46 for RiskJBS and 0.39 and 0.36 for RiskFRS for CIMT and CCS respectively, all p values < 0.001). Conclusions: The present study shows that in Indian subjects RiskJBS appears to provide the most accurate estimation of CV risk. It least underestimates the risk and has the best correlation with CIMT and CCS. However, large-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019483215001054Atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseasePrimary preventionRisk stratification
spellingShingle Manish Bansal
Ravi R. Kasliwal
Naresh Trehan
Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
Indian Heart Journal
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Primary prevention
Risk stratification
title Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
title_full Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
title_fullStr Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
title_short Relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an Indian population
title_sort relationship between different cardiovascular risk scores and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis in an indian population
topic Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease
Primary prevention
Risk stratification
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019483215001054
work_keys_str_mv AT manishbansal relationshipbetweendifferentcardiovascularriskscoresandmeasuresofsubclinicalatherosclerosisinanindianpopulation
AT ravirkasliwal relationshipbetweendifferentcardiovascularriskscoresandmeasuresofsubclinicalatherosclerosisinanindianpopulation
AT nareshtrehan relationshipbetweendifferentcardiovascularriskscoresandmeasuresofsubclinicalatherosclerosisinanindianpopulation