Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources

With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change sce...

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Main Authors: Mohammadzadeh Naser, Amiri Bahman Jabbarian, Endergoli Leila Eslami, Karimi Shirin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2019-03-01
Series:Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INT
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author Mohammadzadeh Naser
Amiri Bahman Jabbarian
Endergoli Leila Eslami
Karimi Shirin
author_facet Mohammadzadeh Naser
Amiri Bahman Jabbarian
Endergoli Leila Eslami
Karimi Shirin
author_sort Mohammadzadeh Naser
collection DOAJ
description With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-05e921606147454e91b5363da4e12fe42022-12-21T19:05:23ZengSciendoSlovak Journal of Civil Engineering1338-39732019-03-01271142410.2478/sjce-2019-0003sjce-2019-0003Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water ResourcesMohammadzadeh Naser0Amiri Bahman Jabbarian1Endergoli Leila Eslami2Karimi Shirin3Dept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranDept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranGriffith University, Griffith School of Environment, Nathan Campus, Queensland, AustraliaDept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranWith the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction.http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INTclimate changeimpactdownscalingrainfall-runoff modellars-wgtank model
spellingShingle Mohammadzadeh Naser
Amiri Bahman Jabbarian
Endergoli Leila Eslami
Karimi Shirin
Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering
climate change
impact
downscaling
rainfall-runoff model
lars-wg
tank model
title Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
title_full Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
title_fullStr Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
title_full_unstemmed Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
title_short Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
title_sort coupling tank model and lars weather generator in assessments of the impacts of climate change on water resources
topic climate change
impact
downscaling
rainfall-runoff model
lars-wg
tank model
url http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INT
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AT endergolileilaeslami couplingtankmodelandlarsweathergeneratorinassessmentsoftheimpactsofclimatechangeonwaterresources
AT karimishirin couplingtankmodelandlarsweathergeneratorinassessmentsoftheimpactsofclimatechangeonwaterresources