Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change sce...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Sciendo
2019-03-01
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Series: | Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering |
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Online Access: | http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INT |
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author | Mohammadzadeh Naser Amiri Bahman Jabbarian Endergoli Leila Eslami Karimi Shirin |
author_facet | Mohammadzadeh Naser Amiri Bahman Jabbarian Endergoli Leila Eslami Karimi Shirin |
author_sort | Mohammadzadeh Naser |
collection | DOAJ |
description | With the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-21T11:38:00Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-05e921606147454e91b5363da4e12fe4 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1338-3973 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-21T11:38:00Z |
publishDate | 2019-03-01 |
publisher | Sciendo |
record_format | Article |
series | Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering |
spelling | doaj.art-05e921606147454e91b5363da4e12fe42022-12-21T19:05:23ZengSciendoSlovak Journal of Civil Engineering1338-39732019-03-01271142410.2478/sjce-2019-0003sjce-2019-0003Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water ResourcesMohammadzadeh Naser0Amiri Bahman Jabbarian1Endergoli Leila Eslami2Karimi Shirin3Dept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranDept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranGriffith University, Griffith School of Environment, Nathan Campus, Queensland, AustraliaDept. of Environmental Science, University of Tehran, Karaj, IranWith the aim of assessing the impact of climate change on surface water resources, a conceptual rainfall-runoff model (the tank model) was coupled with LARS-WG as a weather generator model. The downscaled daily rainfall, temperature, and evaporation from LARS-WG under various IPCC climate change scenarios were used to simulate the runoff through the calibrated Tank model. A catchment (4648 ha) located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea was chosen for this research study. The results showed that this model has a reasonable predictive capability in simulating minimum and maximum temperatures at a level of 99%, rainfall at a level of 93%, and radiation at a level of 97% under various scenarios in agreement with the observed data. Moreover, the results of the rainfall-runoff model indicated an increase in the flow rate of about 108% under the A1B scenario, 101% under the A2 scenario, and 93% under the B1 scenario over the 30-year time period of the discharge prediction.http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INTclimate changeimpactdownscalingrainfall-runoff modellars-wgtank model |
spellingShingle | Mohammadzadeh Naser Amiri Bahman Jabbarian Endergoli Leila Eslami Karimi Shirin Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering climate change impact downscaling rainfall-runoff model lars-wg tank model |
title | Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources |
title_full | Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources |
title_fullStr | Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources |
title_full_unstemmed | Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources |
title_short | Coupling Tank Model and Lars-Weather Generator in Assessments of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources |
title_sort | coupling tank model and lars weather generator in assessments of the impacts of climate change on water resources |
topic | climate change impact downscaling rainfall-runoff model lars-wg tank model |
url | http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/sjce.2019.27.issue-1/sjce-2019-0003/sjce-2019-0003.xml?format=INT |
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