Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar

Rain nowcasting is an essential part of weather monitoring. It plays a vital role in human life, ranging from advanced warning systems to scheduling open air events and tourism. A nowcasting system can be divided into three fundamental steps, i.e., storm identification, tracking and nowcasting. The...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sajid Shah, Riccardo Notarpietro, Marco Branca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015-05-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/6/5/579
_version_ 1818390838486499328
author Sajid Shah
Riccardo Notarpietro
Marco Branca
author_facet Sajid Shah
Riccardo Notarpietro
Marco Branca
author_sort Sajid Shah
collection DOAJ
description Rain nowcasting is an essential part of weather monitoring. It plays a vital role in human life, ranging from advanced warning systems to scheduling open air events and tourism. A nowcasting system can be divided into three fundamental steps, i.e., storm identification, tracking and nowcasting. The main contribution of this work is to propose procedures for each step of the rain nowcasting tool and to objectively evaluate the performances of every step, focusing on two-dimension data collected from short-range X-band radars installed in different parts of Italy. This work presents the solution of previously unsolved problems in storm identification: first, the selection of suitable thresholds for storm identification; second, the isolation of false merger (loosely-connected storms); and third, the identification of a high reflectivity sub-storm within a large storm. The storm tracking step of the existing tools, such as TITANand SCIT, use only up to two storm attributes, i.e., center of mass and area. It is possible to use more attributes for tracking. Furthermore, the contribution of each attribute in storm tracking is yet to be investigated. This paper presents a novel procedure called SALdEdA (structure, amplitude, location, eccentricity difference and areal difference) for storm tracking. This work also presents the contribution of each component of SALdEdA in storm tracking. The second order exponential smoothing strategy is used for storm nowcasting, where the growth and decay of each variable of interest is considered to be linear. We evaluated the major steps of our method. The adopted techniques for automatic threshold calculation are assessed with a 97% goodness. False merger and sub-storms within a cluster of storms are successfully handled. Furthermore, the storm tracking procedure produced good results with an accuracy of 99.34% for convective events and 100% for stratiform events.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T05:03:59Z
format Article
id doaj.art-05f5315255cb474bb501d5d960019291
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4433
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T05:03:59Z
publishDate 2015-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Atmosphere
spelling doaj.art-05f5315255cb474bb501d5d9600192912022-12-21T23:16:09ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332015-05-016557960610.3390/atmos6050579atmos6050579Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band RadarSajid Shah0Riccardo Notarpietro1Marco Branca2DET, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi, 10129 Turin, ItalyDET, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi, 10129 Turin, ItalyDET, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi, 10129 Turin, ItalyRain nowcasting is an essential part of weather monitoring. It plays a vital role in human life, ranging from advanced warning systems to scheduling open air events and tourism. A nowcasting system can be divided into three fundamental steps, i.e., storm identification, tracking and nowcasting. The main contribution of this work is to propose procedures for each step of the rain nowcasting tool and to objectively evaluate the performances of every step, focusing on two-dimension data collected from short-range X-band radars installed in different parts of Italy. This work presents the solution of previously unsolved problems in storm identification: first, the selection of suitable thresholds for storm identification; second, the isolation of false merger (loosely-connected storms); and third, the identification of a high reflectivity sub-storm within a large storm. The storm tracking step of the existing tools, such as TITANand SCIT, use only up to two storm attributes, i.e., center of mass and area. It is possible to use more attributes for tracking. Furthermore, the contribution of each attribute in storm tracking is yet to be investigated. This paper presents a novel procedure called SALdEdA (structure, amplitude, location, eccentricity difference and areal difference) for storm tracking. This work also presents the contribution of each component of SALdEdA in storm tracking. The second order exponential smoothing strategy is used for storm nowcasting, where the growth and decay of each variable of interest is considered to be linear. We evaluated the major steps of our method. The adopted techniques for automatic threshold calculation are assessed with a 97% goodness. False merger and sub-storms within a cluster of storms are successfully handled. Furthermore, the storm tracking procedure produced good results with an accuracy of 99.34% for convective events and 100% for stratiform events.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/6/5/579storm identificationstorm trackingnowcastingforecastingthresholdingimage segmentation
spellingShingle Sajid Shah
Riccardo Notarpietro
Marco Branca
Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
Atmosphere
storm identification
storm tracking
nowcasting
forecasting
thresholding
image segmentation
title Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
title_full Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
title_fullStr Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
title_full_unstemmed Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
title_short Storm Identification, Tracking and Forecasting Using High-Resolution Images of Short-Range X-Band Radar
title_sort storm identification tracking and forecasting using high resolution images of short range x band radar
topic storm identification
storm tracking
nowcasting
forecasting
thresholding
image segmentation
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/6/5/579
work_keys_str_mv AT sajidshah stormidentificationtrackingandforecastingusinghighresolutionimagesofshortrangexbandradar
AT riccardonotarpietro stormidentificationtrackingandforecastingusinghighresolutionimagesofshortrangexbandradar
AT marcobranca stormidentificationtrackingandforecastingusinghighresolutionimagesofshortrangexbandradar