CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir

Geared toward the problems of predicting the unsteadily changing single oil well production in water flooding reservoir, a machine learning model based on CNN (convolutional neural network) and LSTM (long short-term memory) is established which realizes precise predictions of monthly single-well pro...

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Main Authors: Lei Zhang, Hongen Dou, Kun Zhang, Ruijie Huang, Xia Lin, Shuhong Wu, Rui Zhang, Chenjun Zhang, Shaojing Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi-Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Geofluids
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5467956
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author Lei Zhang
Hongen Dou
Kun Zhang
Ruijie Huang
Xia Lin
Shuhong Wu
Rui Zhang
Chenjun Zhang
Shaojing Zheng
author_facet Lei Zhang
Hongen Dou
Kun Zhang
Ruijie Huang
Xia Lin
Shuhong Wu
Rui Zhang
Chenjun Zhang
Shaojing Zheng
author_sort Lei Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Geared toward the problems of predicting the unsteadily changing single oil well production in water flooding reservoir, a machine learning model based on CNN (convolutional neural network) and LSTM (long short-term memory) is established which realizes precise predictions of monthly single-well production. This study is considering more than 60 dynamic and static factors that affect the changes of oil well production, introduce water injection parameters into data set, select 11 main control factors, and then, build a CNN-LSTM model optimized by Bayesian optimization. The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified in a realistic reservoir. The experiment results show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is over 90%, which suggests a penitential application in an extensive range of applications. Production forecasting by the developed model is simple, efficient, and accurate, which can provide a guidance for the dynamic analysis of a water flooding reservoir, and work as a good reference of the development and production of other types of reservoirs.
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spelling doaj.art-0604efa5d4a74d47b67257f432a45f472023-05-30T12:28:37ZengHindawi-WileyGeofluids1468-81232023-01-01202310.1155/2023/5467956CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding ReservoirLei Zhang0Hongen Dou1Kun Zhang2Ruijie Huang3Xia Lin4Shuhong Wu5Rui Zhang6Chenjun Zhang7Shaojing Zheng8Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentResearch Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentThe Twelfth Oil Production PlantResearch Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentResearch Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentResearch Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentChangqing Engineering Design Co.Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentResearch Institute of Petroleum Exploration and DevelopmentGeared toward the problems of predicting the unsteadily changing single oil well production in water flooding reservoir, a machine learning model based on CNN (convolutional neural network) and LSTM (long short-term memory) is established which realizes precise predictions of monthly single-well production. This study is considering more than 60 dynamic and static factors that affect the changes of oil well production, introduce water injection parameters into data set, select 11 main control factors, and then, build a CNN-LSTM model optimized by Bayesian optimization. The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified in a realistic reservoir. The experiment results show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is over 90%, which suggests a penitential application in an extensive range of applications. Production forecasting by the developed model is simple, efficient, and accurate, which can provide a guidance for the dynamic analysis of a water flooding reservoir, and work as a good reference of the development and production of other types of reservoirs.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5467956
spellingShingle Lei Zhang
Hongen Dou
Kun Zhang
Ruijie Huang
Xia Lin
Shuhong Wu
Rui Zhang
Chenjun Zhang
Shaojing Zheng
CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
Geofluids
title CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
title_full CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
title_fullStr CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
title_full_unstemmed CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
title_short CNN-LSTM Model Optimized by Bayesian Optimization for Predicting Single-Well Production in Water Flooding Reservoir
title_sort cnn lstm model optimized by bayesian optimization for predicting single well production in water flooding reservoir
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/5467956
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