Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?

Based on β and σ convergence analysis, we find a high persistence of innovation gaps for international innovation indices reported by the European Commission. Our research confirms the diverging scientific potential across the analyzed economies. Estimation provides evidence of convergence in the ca...

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Main Authors: Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski, Jakub Rybacki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-02-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/1/11
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author Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski
Jakub Rybacki
author_facet Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski
Jakub Rybacki
author_sort Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski
collection DOAJ
description Based on β and σ convergence analysis, we find a high persistence of innovation gaps for international innovation indices reported by the European Commission. Our research confirms the diverging scientific potential across the analyzed economies. Estimation provides evidence of convergence in the case of R&D expenses and the relative position on the global technological frontier. We propose a simple fixed effect panel regression measuring relative innovativeness potential. Our model suggests that current ranking leaders, i.e., Nordic countries (Sweden, Denmark, and Finland) and Germany, are likely to further outpace the United States. Central and Eastern European countries are achieving the greatest relative gains but are unlikely to exceed 70% of US potential. Peripheral European countries, South Africa, Turkey, and Russia are projected to further lose their innovativeness position despite their weaker initial position.
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spelling doaj.art-0617fb14dc2b4037983cddf58b337fd22023-12-03T11:57:54ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992021-02-01911110.3390/economies9010011Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski0Jakub Rybacki1SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, 02-521 Warsaw, PolandSGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, 02-521 Warsaw, PolandBased on β and σ convergence analysis, we find a high persistence of innovation gaps for international innovation indices reported by the European Commission. Our research confirms the diverging scientific potential across the analyzed economies. Estimation provides evidence of convergence in the case of R&D expenses and the relative position on the global technological frontier. We propose a simple fixed effect panel regression measuring relative innovativeness potential. Our model suggests that current ranking leaders, i.e., Nordic countries (Sweden, Denmark, and Finland) and Germany, are likely to further outpace the United States. Central and Eastern European countries are achieving the greatest relative gains but are unlikely to exceed 70% of US potential. Peripheral European countries, South Africa, Turkey, and Russia are projected to further lose their innovativeness position despite their weaker initial position.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/1/11β convergenceσ convergenceinnovationmoderate innovators
spellingShingle Arkadiusz Michał Kowalski
Jakub Rybacki
Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
Economies
β convergence
σ convergence
innovation
moderate innovators
title Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
title_full Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
title_fullStr Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
title_full_unstemmed Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
title_short Moderate Innovator Trap—Does the Convergence of Innovation Performance Occur in the World Economy?
title_sort moderate innovator trap does the convergence of innovation performance occur in the world economy
topic β convergence
σ convergence
innovation
moderate innovators
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/9/1/11
work_keys_str_mv AT arkadiuszmichałkowalski moderateinnovatortrapdoestheconvergenceofinnovationperformanceoccurintheworldeconomy
AT jakubrybacki moderateinnovatortrapdoestheconvergenceofinnovationperformanceoccurintheworldeconomy