The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia

This study investigated the impact of financial development on the total fertility rate in Indonesia, hypothesizing that financial development significantly influences fertility rates. The objective was to ascertain the effects of financial development on Indonesia's total fertility rate, util...

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Main Authors: Rosa Afriska, Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Master Program in Economics, Graduate Program of Universitas Jambi 2024-02-01
Series:Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Subjects:
Online Access:https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/28113
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author Rosa Afriska
Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho
author_facet Rosa Afriska
Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho
author_sort Rosa Afriska
collection DOAJ
description This study investigated the impact of financial development on the total fertility rate in Indonesia, hypothesizing that financial development significantly influences fertility rates. The objective was to ascertain the effects of financial development on Indonesia's total fertility rate, utilizing annual time series data from 1980 to 2021 obtained from the official websites of Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics, and the World Bank. The analysis employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to examine the influence of the money supply in circulation (M2), Gross Domestic Product, and household consumption on the total fertility rate, with these variables serving as proxies for financial development. The study utilized a comprehensive data analysis approach, including stationary tests, cointegration bound tests, ARDL Model analysis for long-term and short-term effects, and classical assumption tests. The findings revealed that the money supply (M2) has a negative and significant impact on the total fertility rate, the Gross Domestic Product also negatively and significantly affects the total fertility rate, while household consumption positively and significantly influences the total fertility rate. These results underscore the multifaceted relationship between financial development and fertility trends in Indonesia.
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spelling doaj.art-0629570b8a874f5ea693aa6c23cfe84f2024-02-29T01:19:25ZengMaster Program in Economics, Graduate Program of Universitas JambiJurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah2338-46032355-85202024-02-0111610.22437/ppd.v11i6.28113The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in IndonesiaRosa Afriska0Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho1Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Trunojoyo, IndonesiaDepartment of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Trunojoyo, Indonesia This study investigated the impact of financial development on the total fertility rate in Indonesia, hypothesizing that financial development significantly influences fertility rates. The objective was to ascertain the effects of financial development on Indonesia's total fertility rate, utilizing annual time series data from 1980 to 2021 obtained from the official websites of Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics, and the World Bank. The analysis employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to examine the influence of the money supply in circulation (M2), Gross Domestic Product, and household consumption on the total fertility rate, with these variables serving as proxies for financial development. The study utilized a comprehensive data analysis approach, including stationary tests, cointegration bound tests, ARDL Model analysis for long-term and short-term effects, and classical assumption tests. The findings revealed that the money supply (M2) has a negative and significant impact on the total fertility rate, the Gross Domestic Product also negatively and significantly affects the total fertility rate, while household consumption positively and significantly influences the total fertility rate. These results underscore the multifaceted relationship between financial development and fertility trends in Indonesia. https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/28113ARDL methodFinancial developmentTotal fertility rate
spellingShingle Rosa Afriska
Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho
The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
ARDL method
Financial development
Total fertility rate
title The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
title_full The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
title_fullStr The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
title_short The influence of financial development on total fertility rate in Indonesia
title_sort influence of financial development on total fertility rate in indonesia
topic ARDL method
Financial development
Total fertility rate
url https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/28113
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