PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS
Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has been used in various technological fields to assist regulatory agencies, managerial decision makers, and systems designers in assessing and mitigating the risks inherent in these complex arrangements. Has PRA delivered on its promise? How do we gage PRA perfor...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2014-02-01
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| Series: | Nuclear Engineering and Technology |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573315300851 |
| _version_ | 1818005587896565760 |
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| author | ALI MOSLEH |
| author_facet | ALI MOSLEH |
| author_sort | ALI MOSLEH |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has been used in various technological fields to assist regulatory agencies, managerial decision makers, and systems designers in assessing and mitigating the risks inherent in these complex arrangements. Has PRA delivered on its promise? How do we gage PRA performance? Are our expectations about value of PRA realistic? Are there disparities between what we get and what we think we are getting form PRA and its various derivatives? Do current PRAs reflect the knowledge gained from actual events? How do we address potential gaps? These are some of the questions that have been raised over the years since the inception of the field more than forty years ago. This paper offers a brief assessment of PRA as a technical discipline in theory and practice, its key strengths and weaknesses, and suggestions on ways to address real and perceived shortcomings. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-14T04:46:06Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-062bd2c4c214475fa1f96f6ad83e9c56 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1738-5733 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-14T04:46:06Z |
| publishDate | 2014-02-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nuclear Engineering and Technology |
| spelling | doaj.art-062bd2c4c214475fa1f96f6ad83e9c562022-12-22T02:11:27ZengElsevierNuclear Engineering and Technology1738-57332014-02-0146111010.5516/NET.03.2014.700PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTSALI MOSLEHProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has been used in various technological fields to assist regulatory agencies, managerial decision makers, and systems designers in assessing and mitigating the risks inherent in these complex arrangements. Has PRA delivered on its promise? How do we gage PRA performance? Are our expectations about value of PRA realistic? Are there disparities between what we get and what we think we are getting form PRA and its various derivatives? Do current PRAs reflect the knowledge gained from actual events? How do we address potential gaps? These are some of the questions that have been raised over the years since the inception of the field more than forty years ago. This paper offers a brief assessment of PRA as a technical discipline in theory and practice, its key strengths and weaknesses, and suggestions on ways to address real and perceived shortcomings.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573315300851Probabilistic Risk AssessmentPRA Applications and Lesson LeanedAdvanced PRA Methods |
| spellingShingle | ALI MOSLEH PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS Nuclear Engineering and Technology Probabilistic Risk Assessment PRA Applications and Lesson Leaned Advanced PRA Methods |
| title | PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS |
| title_full | PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS |
| title_fullStr | PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS |
| title_full_unstemmed | PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS |
| title_short | PRA: A PERSPECTIVE ON STRENGTHS, CURRENT LIMITATIONS, AND POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS |
| title_sort | pra a perspective on strengths current limitations and possible improvements |
| topic | Probabilistic Risk Assessment PRA Applications and Lesson Leaned Advanced PRA Methods |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573315300851 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT alimosleh praaperspectiveonstrengthscurrentlimitationsandpossibleimprovements |