Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2017-07-01
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Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y |
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author | Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas |
author_facet | Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas |
author_sort | Jonas Dalege |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-14T13:19:44Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2045-2322 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-14T13:19:44Z |
publishDate | 2017-07-01 |
publisher | Nature Portfolio |
record_format | Article |
series | Scientific Reports |
spelling | doaj.art-06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2022-12-21T22:59:57ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222017-07-017111110.1038/s41598-017-05048-yNetwork Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting DecisionsJonas Dalege0Denny Borsboom1Frenk van Harreveld2Lourens J. Waldorp3Han L. J. van der Maas4Department of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamAbstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y |
spellingShingle | Jonas Dalege Denny Borsboom Frenk van Harreveld Lourens J. Waldorp Han L. J. van der Maas Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions Scientific Reports |
title | Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_full | Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_fullStr | Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_full_unstemmed | Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_short | Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions |
title_sort | network structure explains the impact of attitudes on voting decisions |
url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y |
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