Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions

Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we...

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Main Authors: Jonas Dalege, Denny Borsboom, Frenk van Harreveld, Lourens J. Waldorp, Han L. J. van der Maas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2017-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y
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author Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
author_facet Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
author_sort Jonas Dalege
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.
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spelling doaj.art-06446c93c8bc4028ac6a928d1f45dffb2022-12-21T22:59:57ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222017-07-017111110.1038/s41598-017-05048-yNetwork Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting DecisionsJonas Dalege0Denny Borsboom1Frenk van Harreveld2Lourens J. Waldorp3Han L. J. van der Maas4Department of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamDepartment of Psychology, University of AmsterdamAbstract Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour in any given circumstance. Using a network model, we demonstrate that (a) more strongly connected attitude networks have a stronger impact on behaviour, and (b) within any given attitude network, the most central attitude elements have the strongest impact. We test these hypotheses using data on voting and attitudes toward presidential candidates in the US presidential elections from 1980 to 2012. These analyses confirm that the predictive value of attitude networks depends almost entirely on their level of connectivity, with more central attitude elements having stronger impact. The impact of attitudes on voting behaviour can thus be reliably determined before elections take place by using network analyses.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y
spellingShingle Jonas Dalege
Denny Borsboom
Frenk van Harreveld
Lourens J. Waldorp
Han L. J. van der Maas
Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
Scientific Reports
title Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_full Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_fullStr Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_full_unstemmed Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_short Network Structure Explains the Impact of Attitudes on Voting Decisions
title_sort network structure explains the impact of attitudes on voting decisions
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05048-y
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