The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios

Disturbance from human activities has intensified the evolution of ecosystem structure in the Jianghan Plain of China, leading to intensified conflicts between ecosystem services. It is essential to clarify the trade-off synergies between ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China to better c...

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Main Authors: Wei Ren, Xuesong Zhang, Hongjie Peng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Communications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a8d
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author Wei Ren
Xuesong Zhang
Hongjie Peng
author_facet Wei Ren
Xuesong Zhang
Hongjie Peng
author_sort Wei Ren
collection DOAJ
description Disturbance from human activities has intensified the evolution of ecosystem structure in the Jianghan Plain of China, leading to intensified conflicts between ecosystem services. It is essential to clarify the trade-off synergies between ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China to better coordinate the economic and social development and ecological protection of the region. Based on historical data and scenario predictions using the GeoSOS-FLUS model, the InVEST model was applied to five key ecosystem services: Carbon storage, crop production, habitat quality, soil conservation and water yield from 2000 to 2020. Spearman correlation analysis was used to explore the trade-off synergies between different ecosystem services in space and time. The results showed that arable land and water land areas are the most important land types in the Jianghan Plain of China. From 2000 to 2020, the increase in build-up land and water land areas was accompanied by a decrease in arable land, forest land and unused land, and an increase in forest land. The natural development scenario in 2035 continues this trend except forest land reduction, while the ecological protection scenario reverses this trend. From 2000 to 2020, crop production, water yield, and soil conservation increased in the Jianghan Plain of China, while carbon storage and habitat quality declined significantly, showing a spatial distribution pattern of higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast. The comprehensive ecosystem services simulated in 2035 showed a downward trend compared with 2020, and the ecological protection scenario has the smallest decrease. There is an overall synergistic relationship between the five ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China, and the strongest synergistic relationship is between soil conservation and water yield. The spatiotemporal relationship between the ecosystems in the Jianghan Plain of China is dynamic and requires sustainable management. Thus, it is necessary to rationally utilize land resources and enhance the ecological functions of the area to minimize trade-offs based on scientific land and spatial planning to maximize synergy.
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spelling doaj.art-065a28aef13e463ba6a05732a033487d2024-03-11T11:58:50ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Communications2515-76202024-01-016303501510.1088/2515-7620/ad2a8dThe spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenariosWei Ren0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3530-9943Xuesong Zhang1Hongjie Peng2College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of China; Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of China; Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of China; Hubei Province Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation, Wuhan 430079, People’s Republic of ChinaDisturbance from human activities has intensified the evolution of ecosystem structure in the Jianghan Plain of China, leading to intensified conflicts between ecosystem services. It is essential to clarify the trade-off synergies between ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China to better coordinate the economic and social development and ecological protection of the region. Based on historical data and scenario predictions using the GeoSOS-FLUS model, the InVEST model was applied to five key ecosystem services: Carbon storage, crop production, habitat quality, soil conservation and water yield from 2000 to 2020. Spearman correlation analysis was used to explore the trade-off synergies between different ecosystem services in space and time. The results showed that arable land and water land areas are the most important land types in the Jianghan Plain of China. From 2000 to 2020, the increase in build-up land and water land areas was accompanied by a decrease in arable land, forest land and unused land, and an increase in forest land. The natural development scenario in 2035 continues this trend except forest land reduction, while the ecological protection scenario reverses this trend. From 2000 to 2020, crop production, water yield, and soil conservation increased in the Jianghan Plain of China, while carbon storage and habitat quality declined significantly, showing a spatial distribution pattern of higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast. The comprehensive ecosystem services simulated in 2035 showed a downward trend compared with 2020, and the ecological protection scenario has the smallest decrease. There is an overall synergistic relationship between the five ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China, and the strongest synergistic relationship is between soil conservation and water yield. The spatiotemporal relationship between the ecosystems in the Jianghan Plain of China is dynamic and requires sustainable management. Thus, it is necessary to rationally utilize land resources and enhance the ecological functions of the area to minimize trade-offs based on scientific land and spatial planning to maximize synergy.https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a8decosystem service trade-off/synergyInVEST modelGeoSOS-FLUS modelmultiscenario simulationJianghan Plain of China
spellingShingle Wei Ren
Xuesong Zhang
Hongjie Peng
The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
Environmental Research Communications
ecosystem service trade-off/synergy
InVEST model
GeoSOS-FLUS model
multiscenario simulation
Jianghan Plain of China
title The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
title_full The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
title_fullStr The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
title_full_unstemmed The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
title_short The spatiotemporal changes and trade-off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the Jianghan Plain of China under different scenarios
title_sort spatiotemporal changes and trade off synergistic effects of ecosystem services in the jianghan plain of china under different scenarios
topic ecosystem service trade-off/synergy
InVEST model
GeoSOS-FLUS model
multiscenario simulation
Jianghan Plain of China
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a8d
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