An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection

In this paper, an entire multifactor model has constructed, based on financial indicators. We improve the prediction of the SVM classification in the multifactor model. The ranking method is used for data preprocessing, then SVM predicts the stock return classification. Finally, the distance from da...

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Main Authors: Zhang Weinan, Lu Tongyu, Sun Jianming
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: National Computer System Engineering Research Institute of China 2019-09-01
Series:Dianzi Jishu Yingyong
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.chinaaet.com/article/3000108321
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author Zhang Weinan
Lu Tongyu
Sun Jianming
author_facet Zhang Weinan
Lu Tongyu
Sun Jianming
author_sort Zhang Weinan
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, an entire multifactor model has constructed, based on financial indicators. We improve the prediction of the SVM classification in the multifactor model. The ranking method is used for data preprocessing, then SVM predicts the stock return classification. Finally, the distance from data to the hyperplane is used to improve the classification predict. With this strategy, in constituent stocks of CSI500, the portfolio gains 88.96% accumulated return from 2016Q4 to 2018Q1. Technical analysis moving average(MA) and channel breakout(CB) as trading time strategies can decrease fluctuation and drawdown. High frequent data are used to re-construct the MA strategy and get lower fluctuation. This model provides a new research perspective: SVM character is used for prediction improvement, technical analysis for strategy return.
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spelling doaj.art-0676b9cabf904d638c53bf91e32dcf022022-12-22T00:02:35ZzhoNational Computer System Engineering Research Institute of ChinaDianzi Jishu Yingyong0258-79982019-09-01459222710.16157/j.issn.0258-7998.1903043000108321An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selectionZhang Weinan0Lu Tongyu1Sun Jianming2College of Economics and Management,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,ChinaCollege of Economics and Management,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,ChinaCollege of Economics and Management,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,ChinaIn this paper, an entire multifactor model has constructed, based on financial indicators. We improve the prediction of the SVM classification in the multifactor model. The ranking method is used for data preprocessing, then SVM predicts the stock return classification. Finally, the distance from data to the hyperplane is used to improve the classification predict. With this strategy, in constituent stocks of CSI500, the portfolio gains 88.96% accumulated return from 2016Q4 to 2018Q1. Technical analysis moving average(MA) and channel breakout(CB) as trading time strategies can decrease fluctuation and drawdown. High frequent data are used to re-construct the MA strategy and get lower fluctuation. This model provides a new research perspective: SVM character is used for prediction improvement, technical analysis for strategy return.http://www.chinaaet.com/article/3000108321multifactor modelstock selectiontechnical analysis
spellingShingle Zhang Weinan
Lu Tongyu
Sun Jianming
An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
Dianzi Jishu Yingyong
multifactor model
stock selection
technical analysis
title An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
title_full An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
title_fullStr An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
title_full_unstemmed An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
title_short An SVM improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
title_sort svm improvement prediction in multifactor model for stocks selection
topic multifactor model
stock selection
technical analysis
url http://www.chinaaet.com/article/3000108321
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangweinan ansvmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection
AT lutongyu ansvmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection
AT sunjianming ansvmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection
AT zhangweinan svmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection
AT lutongyu svmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection
AT sunjianming svmimprovementpredictioninmultifactormodelforstocksselection