Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan

South Sudan is focusing on the development of large hydropower (LHP) to urgently improve access to electricity in the country. However, LHP investments are expensive and take many years to construct. SHP can be deployed as an alternative to LHP developments as they can be constructed in a shorter ti...

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Main Authors: Aban Ayik, Nelson Ijumba, Charles Kabiri, Philippe Goffin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484723000148
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author Aban Ayik
Nelson Ijumba
Charles Kabiri
Philippe Goffin
author_facet Aban Ayik
Nelson Ijumba
Charles Kabiri
Philippe Goffin
author_sort Aban Ayik
collection DOAJ
description South Sudan is focusing on the development of large hydropower (LHP) to urgently improve access to electricity in the country. However, LHP investments are expensive and take many years to construct. SHP can be deployed as an alternative to LHP developments as they can be constructed in a shorter time and urgently deliver electricity to locations in need. This study aims to assess run-of-river (ROR) SHP potential in Central Equatoria State (CES) in South Sudan. This is the first study to assess the SHP potential in South Sudan. The main contribution of this research is to produce a dataset showing the geographical locations and generation capacities of the potential SHP sites. The objective of this study is to identify candidate SHP sites in the study area, investigate their suitability for ROR plants and estimate their electricity generation potential. A digital elevation model and a stream network were used to locate sites with a minimum elevation drop of 5 meters, along third and fourth order streams. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to estimate river discharges in the study area. Model calibration and uncertainty analysis were performed using the Sequential Uncertainty Fitting (SUFI-2) algorithm and daily flow duration curves at 95% dependability were developed from the simulated discharge data. The results showed the availability of eighty-two (82) potential SHP sites along the Bahr el Jebel and the Kaya rivers in CES with a total output power of 1651.69 MW and average annual output energy of 8.68 TWh. Around 60% of the sites had a minimum output power of 10 MW. The highest potential was found in sites between Rejaf and Mongalla, whereas the lowest was along the Kaya river. The study recommended economic analysis and environmental impact assessments before any SHP installation in the area.
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spelling doaj.art-06a2c4eba8514cd6b4e9426e11406ed92023-07-13T05:29:07ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472023-12-01922292246Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South SudanAban Ayik0Nelson Ijumba1Charles Kabiri2Philippe Goffin3African Centre of Excellence in Energy for Sustainable Development, College of Science and Technology, University of Rwanda, P.O. Box 3900, Kigali, Rwanda; Corresponding author.African Centre of Excellence in Energy for Sustainable Development, College of Science and Technology, University of Rwanda, P.O. Box 3900, Kigali, Rwanda; School of Engineering, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South AfricaAfrican Centre of Excellence in Energy for Sustainable Development, College of Science and Technology, University of Rwanda, P.O. Box 3900, Kigali, RwandaAfrican Centre of Excellence in Energy for Sustainable Development, College of Science and Technology, University of Rwanda, P.O. Box 3900, Kigali, RwandaSouth Sudan is focusing on the development of large hydropower (LHP) to urgently improve access to electricity in the country. However, LHP investments are expensive and take many years to construct. SHP can be deployed as an alternative to LHP developments as they can be constructed in a shorter time and urgently deliver electricity to locations in need. This study aims to assess run-of-river (ROR) SHP potential in Central Equatoria State (CES) in South Sudan. This is the first study to assess the SHP potential in South Sudan. The main contribution of this research is to produce a dataset showing the geographical locations and generation capacities of the potential SHP sites. The objective of this study is to identify candidate SHP sites in the study area, investigate their suitability for ROR plants and estimate their electricity generation potential. A digital elevation model and a stream network were used to locate sites with a minimum elevation drop of 5 meters, along third and fourth order streams. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to estimate river discharges in the study area. Model calibration and uncertainty analysis were performed using the Sequential Uncertainty Fitting (SUFI-2) algorithm and daily flow duration curves at 95% dependability were developed from the simulated discharge data. The results showed the availability of eighty-two (82) potential SHP sites along the Bahr el Jebel and the Kaya rivers in CES with a total output power of 1651.69 MW and average annual output energy of 8.68 TWh. Around 60% of the sites had a minimum output power of 10 MW. The highest potential was found in sites between Rejaf and Mongalla, whereas the lowest was along the Kaya river. The study recommended economic analysis and environmental impact assessments before any SHP installation in the area.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484723000148Hydrological modelingRenewable energySmall hydropowerSoil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)South Sudan
spellingShingle Aban Ayik
Nelson Ijumba
Charles Kabiri
Philippe Goffin
Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
Energy Reports
Hydrological modeling
Renewable energy
Small hydropower
Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
South Sudan
title Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
title_full Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
title_fullStr Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
title_full_unstemmed Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
title_short Preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model: A case study of Central Equatoria State, South Sudan
title_sort preliminary assessment of small hydropower potential using the soil and water assessment tool model a case study of central equatoria state south sudan
topic Hydrological modeling
Renewable energy
Small hydropower
Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
South Sudan
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484723000148
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