Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study

Introduction: Stroke mortality and its predictors are important outcome measures in stroke epidemiological studies and clinical trials. There is an observed paucity of data regarding the clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in Southwestern Nigeria. Few available related studies...

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Main Authors: Azeez Oyemomi Ibrahim, Olabode Muftau Shabi, Tosin Anthony Agbesanwa, Paul Olowoyo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-03-01
Series:African Journal of Emergency Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211419X21000707
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author Azeez Oyemomi Ibrahim
Olabode Muftau Shabi
Tosin Anthony Agbesanwa
Paul Olowoyo
author_facet Azeez Oyemomi Ibrahim
Olabode Muftau Shabi
Tosin Anthony Agbesanwa
Paul Olowoyo
author_sort Azeez Oyemomi Ibrahim
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Stroke mortality and its predictors are important outcome measures in stroke epidemiological studies and clinical trials. There is an observed paucity of data regarding the clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in Southwestern Nigeria. Few available related studies have centred on hospitals in the urban and sub-urban areas; however, none in the rural settings. This study, therefore, focuses on the clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality at the adult Emergency Centre of a tertiary hospital situated in rural Southwestern Nigeria. Methods: A retrospective survey, using data form and standardized questionnaire, was used to study the patients admitted for stroke between January 2015 and December 2019. The data were analysed using SPSS Version 22.0. The results were presented in descriptive and tabular formats. Results: A total of 276 patients were studied. Their mean age was 67.3 ± 11.1 years. The most common clinical presentations were hemiparesis and cranial nerve deficit. The case of fatality was 10.1%. The predictors of stroke mortality were age ≥65 years [(AOR = 12.752; 95% CI: (1.022–159.190), p = 0.048)], Glascow coma score <8 [(AOR = 50.348; 95% CI: (7.779–325.866), p < 0.001)], uncontrolled blood pressure [(AOR = 23.321; 95% CI: (2.449–221.927), p = 0.006)], presence of atrial fibrillation [(AOR = 16.456; 95% CI: (2.169–169.336), p = 0.009)], convulsion [(AOR = 25.889; 95% CI: (2.374–282.296), p = 0.008)], heart failure [(AOR = 30.284; 95% CI: (3.265–256.347), p < 0.001)], and a repeat stroke [(AOR = 32.617; 95% CI: (2.410–441.381), p = 0.009)]. Conclusion: The 7-day fatality was 10.1%. The predictors of stroke mortality were poor Glascow coma score, uncontrolled blood pressure, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, convulsion and a repeat stroke. This study strengthens the argument on the higher prevalence of stroke and its mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria. Our findings may provide an impetus for prospective research on this outcome.
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spelling doaj.art-06c929c588bb41f6b151136fa77920802022-12-22T02:57:23ZengElsevierAfrican Journal of Emergency Medicine2211-419X2022-03-011211218Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational studyAzeez Oyemomi Ibrahim0Olabode Muftau Shabi1Tosin Anthony Agbesanwa2Paul Olowoyo3Department of Family medicine, Federal Teaching Hospital, Ido-Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria; Corresponding author.Department of Family Medicine, Afe Babalola University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Family Medicine, Ekiti State University Teaching Hospital, Ado-Ekiti, NigeriaDepartment of Medicine, Afe Babalola University, Ado-Ekiti College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Ekiti State, NigeriaIntroduction: Stroke mortality and its predictors are important outcome measures in stroke epidemiological studies and clinical trials. There is an observed paucity of data regarding the clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in Southwestern Nigeria. Few available related studies have centred on hospitals in the urban and sub-urban areas; however, none in the rural settings. This study, therefore, focuses on the clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality at the adult Emergency Centre of a tertiary hospital situated in rural Southwestern Nigeria. Methods: A retrospective survey, using data form and standardized questionnaire, was used to study the patients admitted for stroke between January 2015 and December 2019. The data were analysed using SPSS Version 22.0. The results were presented in descriptive and tabular formats. Results: A total of 276 patients were studied. Their mean age was 67.3 ± 11.1 years. The most common clinical presentations were hemiparesis and cranial nerve deficit. The case of fatality was 10.1%. The predictors of stroke mortality were age ≥65 years [(AOR = 12.752; 95% CI: (1.022–159.190), p = 0.048)], Glascow coma score <8 [(AOR = 50.348; 95% CI: (7.779–325.866), p < 0.001)], uncontrolled blood pressure [(AOR = 23.321; 95% CI: (2.449–221.927), p = 0.006)], presence of atrial fibrillation [(AOR = 16.456; 95% CI: (2.169–169.336), p = 0.009)], convulsion [(AOR = 25.889; 95% CI: (2.374–282.296), p = 0.008)], heart failure [(AOR = 30.284; 95% CI: (3.265–256.347), p < 0.001)], and a repeat stroke [(AOR = 32.617; 95% CI: (2.410–441.381), p = 0.009)]. Conclusion: The 7-day fatality was 10.1%. The predictors of stroke mortality were poor Glascow coma score, uncontrolled blood pressure, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, convulsion and a repeat stroke. This study strengthens the argument on the higher prevalence of stroke and its mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria. Our findings may provide an impetus for prospective research on this outcome.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211419X21000707StrokePredictorsMortalityRuralNigeria
spellingShingle Azeez Oyemomi Ibrahim
Olabode Muftau Shabi
Tosin Anthony Agbesanwa
Paul Olowoyo
Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
African Journal of Emergency Medicine
Stroke
Predictors
Mortality
Rural
Nigeria
title Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
title_full Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
title_fullStr Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
title_full_unstemmed Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
title_short Five-year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural Southwestern Nigeria: A retrospective observational study
title_sort five year analysis of clinical presentations and predictors of stroke mortality in rural southwestern nigeria a retrospective observational study
topic Stroke
Predictors
Mortality
Rural
Nigeria
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211419X21000707
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AT tosinanthonyagbesanwa fiveyearanalysisofclinicalpresentationsandpredictorsofstrokemortalityinruralsouthwesternnigeriaaretrospectiveobservationalstudy
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