Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity
A very efficient method for estimating the completeness magnitude mc and the scaling parameter b of earthquake magnitude distribution has been thoroughly tested using synthetic seismic catalogues. Subsequently, the method was employed to assess the capability of the b-value in differentiating betwe...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
McGill University
2024-02-01
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| Series: | Seismica |
| Online Access: | https://seismica.library.mcgill.ca/article/view/1084 |
| _version_ | 1797335944729198592 |
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| author | Cataldo Godano Anna Tramelli Giuseppe Petrillo Vincenzo Convertito |
| author_facet | Cataldo Godano Anna Tramelli Giuseppe Petrillo Vincenzo Convertito |
| author_sort | Cataldo Godano |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
A very efficient method for estimating the completeness magnitude mc and the scaling parameter b of earthquake magnitude distribution has been thoroughly tested using synthetic seismic catalogues. Subsequently, the method was employed to assess the capability of the b-value in differentiating between foreshocks and aftershocks, confirming previous findings regarding the Amatrice-Norcia earthquake sequence. However, a blind algorithm reveals that the discriminative ability of the b-value necessitates a meticulous selection of the catalogue, thereby reducing the predictability of large events occurring subsequent to a prior major earthquake.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T08:45:48Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-06d0695f7afa460486f26160189df925 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2816-9387 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T08:45:48Z |
| publishDate | 2024-02-01 |
| publisher | McGill University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Seismica |
| spelling | doaj.art-06d0695f7afa460486f26160189df9252024-02-01T16:11:26ZengMcGill UniversitySeismica2816-93872024-02-013110.26443/seismica.v3i1.1084Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian SeismicityCataldo Godano0Anna Tramelli1Giuseppe Petrillo2Vincenzo Convertito3Università della Campania "L. Vanvitelli" Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Napoli Osservatorio Vesuviano, Napoli, Italy.The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Research Organization of Information and Systems, Tokyo 106-8569, Japan. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Napoli Osservatorio Vesuviano, Napoli, Italy. A very efficient method for estimating the completeness magnitude mc and the scaling parameter b of earthquake magnitude distribution has been thoroughly tested using synthetic seismic catalogues. Subsequently, the method was employed to assess the capability of the b-value in differentiating between foreshocks and aftershocks, confirming previous findings regarding the Amatrice-Norcia earthquake sequence. However, a blind algorithm reveals that the discriminative ability of the b-value necessitates a meticulous selection of the catalogue, thereby reducing the predictability of large events occurring subsequent to a prior major earthquake. https://seismica.library.mcgill.ca/article/view/1084 |
| spellingShingle | Cataldo Godano Anna Tramelli Giuseppe Petrillo Vincenzo Convertito Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity Seismica |
| title | Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity |
| title_full | Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity |
| title_fullStr | Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity |
| title_full_unstemmed | Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity |
| title_short | Testing the Predictive Power of b Value for Italian Seismicity |
| title_sort | testing the predictive power of b value for italian seismicity |
| url | https://seismica.library.mcgill.ca/article/view/1084 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT cataldogodano testingthepredictivepowerofbvalueforitalianseismicity AT annatramelli testingthepredictivepowerofbvalueforitalianseismicity AT giuseppepetrillo testingthepredictivepowerofbvalueforitalianseismicity AT vincenzoconvertito testingthepredictivepowerofbvalueforitalianseismicity |