Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic
Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus using data from pasteurised milk produced in Slovakia was performed. Monte Carlo simulations were used for probability calculation of B. cereus density at the time of pasteurised milk consumption for several different scenarios. The results of the gene...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences
2014-04-01
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| Series: | Czech Journal of Food Sciences |
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| Online Access: | https://cjfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/cjf-201402-0002_quantitative-risk-assessment-of-bacillus-cereus-in-pasteurised-milk-produced-in-the-slovak-republic.php |
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| author | Pavel Ačai Ľubomír Valík Denisa Liptáková |
| author_facet | Pavel Ačai Ľubomír Valík Denisa Liptáková |
| author_sort | Pavel Ačai |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus using data from pasteurised milk produced in Slovakia was performed. Monte Carlo simulations were used for probability calculation of B. cereus density at the time of pasteurised milk consumption for several different scenarios. The results of the general case exposure assessment indicated that almost 14% of cartons can contain > 104 CFU/ml of B. cereus at the time of pasteurised milk consumption. Despite the absence of a generally applicable dose-response relationship that limits a full risk assessment, the probability of intoxication per serving and the estimated number of cases in the population were calculated for the general exposure assessment scenario using an exponential dose-response model based on Slovak data. The mean number of annual cases provided by the risk assessment model for pasteurised milk produced in Slovakia was 0.054/100 000 population. In comparison, the overall reporting rate of the outbreaks in the EU in which B. cereus toxins were the causative agent was 0.02/100 000 population in 2010. Our assessment is in accordance with a generally accepted fact that reporting data for alimentary intoxication are underestimated, mostly due to the short duration of the illness. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:33:20Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-06dab54df4d84865be8c7b76a8dbde3a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1212-1800 1805-9317 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:33:20Z |
| publishDate | 2014-04-01 |
| publisher | Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Czech Journal of Food Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-06dab54df4d84865be8c7b76a8dbde3a2023-02-23T03:28:06ZengCzech Academy of Agricultural SciencesCzech Journal of Food Sciences1212-18001805-93172014-04-0132212213110.17221/106/2013-CJFScjf-201402-0002Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak RepublicPavel Ačai0Ľubomír Valík1Denisa Liptáková2Institute of Chemical and Environmental Engineering andInstitute of Biochemistry, Microbiology and Health Protection, Faculty of Chemical and Food Technology, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovak RepublicInstitute of Biochemistry, Microbiology and Health Protection, Faculty of Chemical and Food Technology, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovak RepublicQuantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus using data from pasteurised milk produced in Slovakia was performed. Monte Carlo simulations were used for probability calculation of B. cereus density at the time of pasteurised milk consumption for several different scenarios. The results of the general case exposure assessment indicated that almost 14% of cartons can contain > 104 CFU/ml of B. cereus at the time of pasteurised milk consumption. Despite the absence of a generally applicable dose-response relationship that limits a full risk assessment, the probability of intoxication per serving and the estimated number of cases in the population were calculated for the general exposure assessment scenario using an exponential dose-response model based on Slovak data. The mean number of annual cases provided by the risk assessment model for pasteurised milk produced in Slovakia was 0.054/100 000 population. In comparison, the overall reporting rate of the outbreaks in the EU in which B. cereus toxins were the causative agent was 0.02/100 000 population in 2010. Our assessment is in accordance with a generally accepted fact that reporting data for alimentary intoxication are underestimated, mostly due to the short duration of the illness.https://cjfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/cjf-201402-0002_quantitative-risk-assessment-of-bacillus-cereus-in-pasteurised-milk-produced-in-the-slovak-republic.phpexposure assessmentrisk characterisationmonte carlo simulations |
| spellingShingle | Pavel Ačai Ľubomír Valík Denisa Liptáková Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic Czech Journal of Food Sciences exposure assessment risk characterisation monte carlo simulations |
| title | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic |
| title_full | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic |
| title_fullStr | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic |
| title_full_unstemmed | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic |
| title_short | Quantitative risk assessment of Bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the Slovak Republic |
| title_sort | quantitative risk assessment of bacillus cereus in pasteurised milk produced in the slovak republic |
| topic | exposure assessment risk characterisation monte carlo simulations |
| url | https://cjfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/cjf-201402-0002_quantitative-risk-assessment-of-bacillus-cereus-in-pasteurised-milk-produced-in-the-slovak-republic.php |
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