Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change

Mosses are particularly susceptible to climate change owing to their close biological and ecological associations with climatic conditions. However, there is a limited understanding of the changes in distribution patterns of the moss species in forest ecosystems under climate change, especially in m...

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Main Authors: Tingting Wu, Chuntong Pan, Tao Bian, Qiaoxin Wang, Jin Kou, Bangwei Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/11/2227
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author Tingting Wu
Chuntong Pan
Tao Bian
Qiaoxin Wang
Jin Kou
Bangwei Zhou
author_facet Tingting Wu
Chuntong Pan
Tao Bian
Qiaoxin Wang
Jin Kou
Bangwei Zhou
author_sort Tingting Wu
collection DOAJ
description Mosses are particularly susceptible to climate change owing to their close biological and ecological associations with climatic conditions. However, there is a limited understanding of the changes in distribution patterns of the moss species in forest ecosystems under climate change, especially in mosses with narrow ranges. Therefore, we reconstructed historical, simulated present, and predicted future potential distribution patterns of <i>Didymodon validus</i>, a narrow-range moss species in the forest ecosystem, using the MaxEnt model. The aim of this study was to explore its unique suitable habitat preference, the key environmental factors affecting its distribution, and the distributional changes of <i>D. validus</i> under climate change at a long spatial-time scale. Our findings indicate that the most suitable locations for <i>D. validus</i> are situated in high-altitude regions of southwestern China. Elevation and mean temperature in the wettest quarter were identified as key factors influencing <i>D. validus</i> distribution patterns. Our predictions showed that despite the dramatic climatic and spatial changes over a long period of time, the range of <i>D. validus</i> was not radically altered. From the Last Interglacial (LIG) to the future, the area of the highly suitable habitat of <i>D. validus</i> accounted for only 15.3%–16.4% of the total area, and there were weak dynamic differences in <i>D. validus</i> at different climate stages. Under the same climate scenarios, the area loss of suitable habitat is mainly concentrated in the northern and eastern parts of the current habitat, while it may increase in the southern and eastern margins. In future climate scenarios, the distribution core zone of suitable habitat will shift to the southwest for a short distance. Even under the conditions of future climate warming, this species may still exist both in the arid and humid regions of the QTP in China. In summary, <i>D. validus</i> showed cold and drought resistance. Our study provides important insights and support for understanding the impact of climate change on the distribution of <i>D. validus</i>, as well as its future distribution and protection strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-06ddd07175014988acb2cd260fad7a532023-11-24T14:42:45ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072023-11-011411222710.3390/f14112227Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate ChangeTingting Wu0Chuntong Pan1Tao Bian2Qiaoxin Wang3Jin Kou4Bangwei Zhou5Key Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, School of Life Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaMosses are particularly susceptible to climate change owing to their close biological and ecological associations with climatic conditions. However, there is a limited understanding of the changes in distribution patterns of the moss species in forest ecosystems under climate change, especially in mosses with narrow ranges. Therefore, we reconstructed historical, simulated present, and predicted future potential distribution patterns of <i>Didymodon validus</i>, a narrow-range moss species in the forest ecosystem, using the MaxEnt model. The aim of this study was to explore its unique suitable habitat preference, the key environmental factors affecting its distribution, and the distributional changes of <i>D. validus</i> under climate change at a long spatial-time scale. Our findings indicate that the most suitable locations for <i>D. validus</i> are situated in high-altitude regions of southwestern China. Elevation and mean temperature in the wettest quarter were identified as key factors influencing <i>D. validus</i> distribution patterns. Our predictions showed that despite the dramatic climatic and spatial changes over a long period of time, the range of <i>D. validus</i> was not radically altered. From the Last Interglacial (LIG) to the future, the area of the highly suitable habitat of <i>D. validus</i> accounted for only 15.3%–16.4% of the total area, and there were weak dynamic differences in <i>D. validus</i> at different climate stages. Under the same climate scenarios, the area loss of suitable habitat is mainly concentrated in the northern and eastern parts of the current habitat, while it may increase in the southern and eastern margins. In future climate scenarios, the distribution core zone of suitable habitat will shift to the southwest for a short distance. Even under the conditions of future climate warming, this species may still exist both in the arid and humid regions of the QTP in China. In summary, <i>D. validus</i> showed cold and drought resistance. Our study provides important insights and support for understanding the impact of climate change on the distribution of <i>D. validus</i>, as well as its future distribution and protection strategies.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/11/2227<i>Didymodon validus</i>MaxEntpaleoclimateclimate warmingshifts
spellingShingle Tingting Wu
Chuntong Pan
Tao Bian
Qiaoxin Wang
Jin Kou
Bangwei Zhou
Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
Forests
<i>Didymodon validus</i>
MaxEnt
paleoclimate
climate warming
shifts
title Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
title_full Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
title_fullStr Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
title_full_unstemmed Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
title_short Response of a Sylvan Moss Species (<i>Didymodon validus</i> Limpr.) with a Narrow Distribution Range to Climate Change
title_sort response of a sylvan moss species i didymodon validus i limpr with a narrow distribution range to climate change
topic <i>Didymodon validus</i>
MaxEnt
paleoclimate
climate warming
shifts
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/11/2227
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