Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning

The financial risk of investing in Bitcoin is increasing, and everyone partic-ipating in the transaction is aware of it. The rise and fall of bitcoin’s value is difficult to predict, and the system is fraught with uncertainty. As a result, this study proposed to use the «Deep learning» technique for...

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Main Author: Nahla Aljojo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca 2022-06-01
Series:Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/27269
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author Nahla Aljojo
author_facet Nahla Aljojo
author_sort Nahla Aljojo
collection DOAJ
description The financial risk of investing in Bitcoin is increasing, and everyone partic-ipating in the transaction is aware of it. The rise and fall of bitcoin’s value is difficult to predict, and the system is fraught with uncertainty. As a result, this study proposed to use the «Deep learning» technique for predicting fi-nancial risk associated with bitcoin investment, that is linked to its «weighted price» on the bitcoin market’s volatility. The dataset used included Bitcoin historical data, which was acquired «at one-minute intervals» from selected exchanges of January 2012 through December 2020. The deep learning lin-ear-SVM-based technique was used to obtain an advantage in handling the high-dimensional challenges related with bitcoin-based transaction transac-tions large data volume. Four variables («High», «Low», «Close», and «Volume (BTC)».) are conceptualized to predict weighted price, in order to indi-cate if there is a propensity of financial risk over the effect of their interaction. The results of the experimental investigation show that the fi-nancial risk associated with bitcoin investing is accurately predicted. This has helped to discover engagements and disengagements with doubts linked with bitcoin investment transactions, resulting in increased confidence and trust in the system as well as the elimination of financial risk. Our model had a significantly greater prediction accuracy, demonstrating the utility of deep learning systems in detecting financial problems related to digital currency.
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spelling doaj.art-06fb408d4554474cb79f311c35d000292023-01-25T08:53:34ZengEdiciones Universidad de SalamancaAdvances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal2255-28632022-06-0111151810.14201/adcaij.2726924127Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep LearningNahla Aljojo0College of Computer Science and Engineering, Information system and Technology Department, University of Jeddah, JeddahThe financial risk of investing in Bitcoin is increasing, and everyone partic-ipating in the transaction is aware of it. The rise and fall of bitcoin’s value is difficult to predict, and the system is fraught with uncertainty. As a result, this study proposed to use the «Deep learning» technique for predicting fi-nancial risk associated with bitcoin investment, that is linked to its «weighted price» on the bitcoin market’s volatility. The dataset used included Bitcoin historical data, which was acquired «at one-minute intervals» from selected exchanges of January 2012 through December 2020. The deep learning lin-ear-SVM-based technique was used to obtain an advantage in handling the high-dimensional challenges related with bitcoin-based transaction transac-tions large data volume. Four variables («High», «Low», «Close», and «Volume (BTC)».) are conceptualized to predict weighted price, in order to indi-cate if there is a propensity of financial risk over the effect of their interaction. The results of the experimental investigation show that the fi-nancial risk associated with bitcoin investing is accurately predicted. This has helped to discover engagements and disengagements with doubts linked with bitcoin investment transactions, resulting in increased confidence and trust in the system as well as the elimination of financial risk. Our model had a significantly greater prediction accuracy, demonstrating the utility of deep learning systems in detecting financial problems related to digital currency.https://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/27269bitcoinbitcoin in-vestmentfinancial riskdeep learning
spellingShingle Nahla Aljojo
Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
bitcoin
bitcoin in-vestment
financial risk
deep learning
title Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
title_full Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
title_fullStr Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
title_short Predicting Financial Risk Associated to Bitcoin Investment by Deep Learning
title_sort predicting financial risk associated to bitcoin investment by deep learning
topic bitcoin
bitcoin in-vestment
financial risk
deep learning
url https://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/27269
work_keys_str_mv AT nahlaaljojo predictingfinancialriskassociatedtobitcoininvestmentbydeeplearning