Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is significant for landslide risk assessment. However, there remains no consensus on which method is optimal for LSM. This study implements a dynamic approach to landslide hazard mapping by integrating spatio-temporal probability analysis with time-varying grou...

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Main Authors: Yifan Sheng, Guangli Xu, Bijing Jin, Chao Zhou, Yuanyao Li, Weitao Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/21/5256
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author Yifan Sheng
Guangli Xu
Bijing Jin
Chao Zhou
Yuanyao Li
Weitao Chen
author_facet Yifan Sheng
Guangli Xu
Bijing Jin
Chao Zhou
Yuanyao Li
Weitao Chen
author_sort Yifan Sheng
collection DOAJ
description Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is significant for landslide risk assessment. However, there remains no consensus on which method is optimal for LSM. This study implements a dynamic approach to landslide hazard mapping by integrating spatio-temporal probability analysis with time-varying ground deformation velocity derived from the MT-InSAR (Multi-Temporal InSAR) method. Reliable landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) can inform landslide risk managers and government officials. First, sixteen factors were selected to construct a causal factor system for LSM. Next, Pearson correlation analysis, multicollinearity analysis, information gain ratio, and GeoDetector methods were applied to remove the least important factors of STI, plan curvature, TRI, and slope length. Subsequently, information quantity (IQ), logistic regression (LR), frequency ratio (FR), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and convolutional neural network (CNN) methods were performed to construct the LSM. The results showed that the distance to a river, slope angle, distance from structure, and engineering geological rock group were the main factors controlling landslide development. A comprehensive set of statistical indicators was employed to evaluate these methods’ effectiveness; sensitivity, F1-measure, and AUC (area under the curve) were calculated and subsequently compared to assess the performance of the methods. Machine learning methods’ training and prediction accuracy were higher than those of statistical methods. The AUC values of the IQ, FR, LR, BP-ANN, RBF-ANN, RF, SVM, and CNN methods were 0.810, 0.854, 0.828, 0.895, 0.916, 0.932, 0.948, and 0.957, respectively. Although the performance order varied for other statistical indicators, overall, the CNN method was the best, while the BP-ANN and RBF-ANN method was the worst among the five examined machine methods. Hence, adopting the CNN approach in this study can enhance LSM accuracy, catering to the needs of planners and government agencies responsible for managing landslide-prone areas and preventing landslide-induced disasters.
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spelling doaj.art-07328885029b44db9c0454d95f4e711a2023-11-10T15:11:33ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-11-011521525610.3390/rs15215256Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, ChinaYifan Sheng0Guangli Xu1Bijing Jin2Chao Zhou3Yuanyao Li4Weitao Chen5Institute of Geological Survey, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaInstitute of Geological Survey, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaFaculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaSchool of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaInstitute of Geological Survey, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaSchool of Computer Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaLandslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is significant for landslide risk assessment. However, there remains no consensus on which method is optimal for LSM. This study implements a dynamic approach to landslide hazard mapping by integrating spatio-temporal probability analysis with time-varying ground deformation velocity derived from the MT-InSAR (Multi-Temporal InSAR) method. Reliable landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) can inform landslide risk managers and government officials. First, sixteen factors were selected to construct a causal factor system for LSM. Next, Pearson correlation analysis, multicollinearity analysis, information gain ratio, and GeoDetector methods were applied to remove the least important factors of STI, plan curvature, TRI, and slope length. Subsequently, information quantity (IQ), logistic regression (LR), frequency ratio (FR), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and convolutional neural network (CNN) methods were performed to construct the LSM. The results showed that the distance to a river, slope angle, distance from structure, and engineering geological rock group were the main factors controlling landslide development. A comprehensive set of statistical indicators was employed to evaluate these methods’ effectiveness; sensitivity, F1-measure, and AUC (area under the curve) were calculated and subsequently compared to assess the performance of the methods. Machine learning methods’ training and prediction accuracy were higher than those of statistical methods. The AUC values of the IQ, FR, LR, BP-ANN, RBF-ANN, RF, SVM, and CNN methods were 0.810, 0.854, 0.828, 0.895, 0.916, 0.932, 0.948, and 0.957, respectively. Although the performance order varied for other statistical indicators, overall, the CNN method was the best, while the BP-ANN and RBF-ANN method was the worst among the five examined machine methods. Hence, adopting the CNN approach in this study can enhance LSM accuracy, catering to the needs of planners and government agencies responsible for managing landslide-prone areas and preventing landslide-induced disasters.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/21/5256landslidelandslide susceptibility mappingstatistical analysisdeep learningremote sensing
spellingShingle Yifan Sheng
Guangli Xu
Bijing Jin
Chao Zhou
Yuanyao Li
Weitao Chen
Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
Remote Sensing
landslide
landslide susceptibility mapping
statistical analysis
deep learning
remote sensing
title Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
title_full Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
title_fullStr Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
title_full_unstemmed Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
title_short Data-Driven Landslide Spatial Prediction and Deformation Monitoring: A Case Study of Shiyan City, China
title_sort data driven landslide spatial prediction and deformation monitoring a case study of shiyan city china
topic landslide
landslide susceptibility mapping
statistical analysis
deep learning
remote sensing
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/21/5256
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