Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field

Previous studies have demonstrated a close relationship between the time derivative of the horizontal geomagnetic field vector (dH/dt) and geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) at a nearby location in a power grid. Similarly, a high correlation exists between GIC and the local horizontal geoelectri...

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Main Authors: Viljanen Ari, Wintoft Peter, Wik Magnus
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2015-01-01
Series:Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015022
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author Viljanen Ari
Wintoft Peter
Wik Magnus
author_facet Viljanen Ari
Wintoft Peter
Wik Magnus
author_sort Viljanen Ari
collection DOAJ
description Previous studies have demonstrated a close relationship between the time derivative of the horizontal geomagnetic field vector (dH/dt) and geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) at a nearby location in a power grid. Similarly, a high correlation exists between GIC and the local horizontal geoelectric field (E), typically modelled from a measured magnetic field. Considering GIC forecasting, it is not feasible to assume that detailed prediction of time series will be possible. Instead, other measures summarising the activity level over a given period are preferable. In this paper, we consider the 30-min maximum of dH/dt or E as a local activity indicator (|dH/dt|30 or |E|30). Concerning GIC, we use the sum of currents through the neutral leads at substations and apply its 30-min maximum as a regional activity measure (GIC30). We show that |dH/dt|30 at a single point yields a proxy for GIC activity in a larger region. A practical consequence is that if |dH/dt|30 can be predicted at some point then it is also possible to assess the expected GIC level in the surrounding area. As is also demonstrated, |E|30 and GIC30 depend linearly on |dH/dt|30, so there is no saturation with increasing geomagnetic activity contrary to often used activity indices.
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spelling doaj.art-073fdd8b8728431db3111ad7399c0d062022-12-21T22:49:09ZengEDP SciencesJournal of Space Weather and Space Climate2115-72512015-01-015A2410.1051/swsc/2015022swsc150029Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric fieldViljanen AriWintoft PeterWik MagnusPrevious studies have demonstrated a close relationship between the time derivative of the horizontal geomagnetic field vector (dH/dt) and geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) at a nearby location in a power grid. Similarly, a high correlation exists between GIC and the local horizontal geoelectric field (E), typically modelled from a measured magnetic field. Considering GIC forecasting, it is not feasible to assume that detailed prediction of time series will be possible. Instead, other measures summarising the activity level over a given period are preferable. In this paper, we consider the 30-min maximum of dH/dt or E as a local activity indicator (|dH/dt|30 or |E|30). Concerning GIC, we use the sum of currents through the neutral leads at substations and apply its 30-min maximum as a regional activity measure (GIC30). We show that |dH/dt|30 at a single point yields a proxy for GIC activity in a larger region. A practical consequence is that if |dH/dt|30 can be predicted at some point then it is also possible to assess the expected GIC level in the surrounding area. As is also demonstrated, |E|30 and GIC30 depend linearly on |dH/dt|30, so there is no saturation with increasing geomagnetic activity contrary to often used activity indices.http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015022Geomagnetically induced currents
spellingShingle Viljanen Ari
Wintoft Peter
Wik Magnus
Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate
Geomagnetically induced currents
title Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
title_full Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
title_fullStr Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
title_full_unstemmed Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
title_short Regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
title_sort regional estimation of geomagnetically induced currents based on the local magnetic or electric field
topic Geomagnetically induced currents
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015022
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AT wintoftpeter regionalestimationofgeomagneticallyinducedcurrentsbasedonthelocalmagneticorelectricfield
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