Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran

In this study, using the smooth transition regression (STR) and quarterly data during the period of 1997:1-2015:3, the nonlinear monetary policy functions of the Central Bank of Iran,regarding the risk of financial markets, be estimated. The results indicated that the risk of financial markets is an...

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Main Authors: Ahmad Jafari Samimi, Amir Mansour Tehranchian, Mohsen Nosratian Nasab
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2018-09-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3880_092bb06187ba58a08284ecf40c32aa71.pdf
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author Ahmad Jafari Samimi
Amir Mansour Tehranchian
Mohsen Nosratian Nasab
author_facet Ahmad Jafari Samimi
Amir Mansour Tehranchian
Mohsen Nosratian Nasab
author_sort Ahmad Jafari Samimi
collection DOAJ
description In this study, using the smooth transition regression (STR) and quarterly data during the period of 1997:1-2015:3, the nonlinear monetary policy functions of the Central Bank of Iran,regarding the risk of financial markets, be estimated. The results indicated that the risk of financial markets is an important factor in regime switching of monetary policy in Iran. By passing the risk of financial markets from a threshold level, monetary policy is focused on adjusting the output gap so that the coefficient of output gap is consistent with the Taylor rule in the second regime while in the linear part (the first regime) it is in contrast to the expected coefficient. This results indicate the variability of monetary policy behavior in various financial market risk situations. However, the coefficient of inflation gap in both regimes and both scenarios is not statistically significant.
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spelling doaj.art-07465a42935c48978f5470589c44bbdb2024-02-23T18:38:41ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502018-09-013413516110.22075/jem.2019.17032.12683880Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in IranAhmad Jafari Samimi0Amir Mansour Tehranchian1Mohsen Nosratian Nasab2Professor in Economics, Department of Economics, University of MazandaranAssociate Professor in Economics, Department of Economics, University of MazandaranPh.D. Student in Economics, Department of Economics, University of MazandaranIn this study, using the smooth transition regression (STR) and quarterly data during the period of 1997:1-2015:3, the nonlinear monetary policy functions of the Central Bank of Iran,regarding the risk of financial markets, be estimated. The results indicated that the risk of financial markets is an important factor in regime switching of monetary policy in Iran. By passing the risk of financial markets from a threshold level, monetary policy is focused on adjusting the output gap so that the coefficient of output gap is consistent with the Taylor rule in the second regime while in the linear part (the first regime) it is in contrast to the expected coefficient. This results indicate the variability of monetary policy behavior in various financial market risk situations. However, the coefficient of inflation gap in both regimes and both scenarios is not statistically significant.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3880_092bb06187ba58a08284ecf40c32aa71.pdfmonetary policyrisk of financial marketnonlinear behaviorsmooth transition regression model
spellingShingle Ahmad Jafari Samimi
Amir Mansour Tehranchian
Mohsen Nosratian Nasab
Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
monetary policy
risk of financial market
nonlinear behavior
smooth transition regression model
title Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
title_full Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
title_fullStr Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
title_short Nonlinear Reaction of Monetary Policies to the Risks of Financial Markets in Iran
title_sort nonlinear reaction of monetary policies to the risks of financial markets in iran
topic monetary policy
risk of financial market
nonlinear behavior
smooth transition regression model
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3880_092bb06187ba58a08284ecf40c32aa71.pdf
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