Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)

There is a growing debate regarding the influence of solar activity on climate change as the solar forcing signal on decadal/multidecadal timescales is not robust in long-term reconstructed climate data or numerical simulations. However, solar forcing could be amplified by ocean–atmosphere coupling...

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Main Authors: Aihua Ye, Zhipeng Zhu, Ruyi Zhang, Ziniu Xiao, Limin Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Earth Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1165386/full
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author Aihua Ye
Zhipeng Zhu
Ruyi Zhang
Ziniu Xiao
Limin Zhou
Limin Zhou
author_facet Aihua Ye
Zhipeng Zhu
Ruyi Zhang
Ziniu Xiao
Limin Zhou
Limin Zhou
author_sort Aihua Ye
collection DOAJ
description There is a growing debate regarding the influence of solar activity on climate change as the solar forcing signal on decadal/multidecadal timescales is not robust in long-term reconstructed climate data or numerical simulations. However, solar forcing could be amplified by ocean–atmosphere coupling in sensitive regions, including the North Atlantic Ocean (N.A.). This study assessed the influence of varied total solar irradiance (TSI) due to the effects of solar activity on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) based on an Earth System model with intermediate complexity (PLASIM-GENIE). Three groups of experiments with different TSI series; i.e., constant (NS), decadal varied (DS), and reconstructed whole (AS) for 1610–2000, were conducted and the AMOC response was investigated. The results showed that the internal forcing of the climate system led to quasi-35-year and quasi-65-year AMOC cycles and a significant and stable negative correlation between TSI and AMOC on a multidecadal timescale. The period was significantly extended due to solar forcing. The declining AMOC trend occurred in simulations after 1800. Thus, solar forcing contributed to a weakening AMOC at a rate of 0.41 Sv per century. The decadal variation in TSI was the main contributor to this decline due to solar forcing.
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spelling doaj.art-075bc627e3404bb28b86d312315184a02023-05-19T04:45:22ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Earth Science2296-64632023-05-011110.3389/feart.2023.11653861165386Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)Aihua Ye0Zhipeng Zhu1Ruyi Zhang2Ziniu Xiao3Limin Zhou4Limin Zhou5Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modelling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, Ministry of Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai, ChinaInstitute of Eco-Chongming, Shanghai, ChinaThere is a growing debate regarding the influence of solar activity on climate change as the solar forcing signal on decadal/multidecadal timescales is not robust in long-term reconstructed climate data or numerical simulations. However, solar forcing could be amplified by ocean–atmosphere coupling in sensitive regions, including the North Atlantic Ocean (N.A.). This study assessed the influence of varied total solar irradiance (TSI) due to the effects of solar activity on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) based on an Earth System model with intermediate complexity (PLASIM-GENIE). Three groups of experiments with different TSI series; i.e., constant (NS), decadal varied (DS), and reconstructed whole (AS) for 1610–2000, were conducted and the AMOC response was investigated. The results showed that the internal forcing of the climate system led to quasi-35-year and quasi-65-year AMOC cycles and a significant and stable negative correlation between TSI and AMOC on a multidecadal timescale. The period was significantly extended due to solar forcing. The declining AMOC trend occurred in simulations after 1800. Thus, solar forcing contributed to a weakening AMOC at a rate of 0.41 Sv per century. The decadal variation in TSI was the main contributor to this decline due to solar forcing.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1165386/fullsolar forcingAMOCmultidecadal variabilitysensitivity testperiod
spellingShingle Aihua Ye
Zhipeng Zhu
Ruyi Zhang
Ziniu Xiao
Limin Zhou
Limin Zhou
Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
Frontiers in Earth Science
solar forcing
AMOC
multidecadal variability
sensitivity test
period
title Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
title_full Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
title_fullStr Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
title_full_unstemmed Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
title_short Influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
title_sort influence of solar forcing on multidecadal variability in the atlantic meridional overturning circulation amoc
topic solar forcing
AMOC
multidecadal variability
sensitivity test
period
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1165386/full
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