Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model

The Lightning Potential Index (LPI) is a measure of the potential for charge generation and separation that leads to lightning flashes in convective thunderstorms. It is calculated from model simulated updraft and microphysical fields. It was designed to predict the potential of lightning occurrence...

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Main Authors: B. Lynn, Y. Yair
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2010-02-01
Series:Advances in Geosciences
Online Access:http://www.adv-geosci.net/23/11/2010/adgeo-23-11-2010.pdf
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author B. Lynn
Y. Yair
author_facet B. Lynn
Y. Yair
author_sort B. Lynn
collection DOAJ
description The Lightning Potential Index (LPI) is a measure of the potential for charge generation and separation that leads to lightning flashes in convective thunderstorms. It is calculated from model simulated updraft and microphysical fields. It was designed to predict the potential of lightning occurrence in operational weather forecasting models, but could possibly be used to improve short-range forecasts of heavy rain. The index is modified here to be model grid-scale transparent between 1 and 4 km (the approximate upper limit of explicit microphysical weather forecasts). Two case studies show that the modification appears to work quite well, and that LPI can be calculated on both an extremely high resolution research-grid (i.e., 1.33 km) and high resolution (i.e., 4 km) operationally compatible forecast grid. Analytical expressions are presented to use the LPI to predict the hourly lightning flash density.
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spelling doaj.art-078a945ddbfc49db88d8e4ee9d54de532022-12-22T00:20:31ZengCopernicus PublicationsAdvances in Geosciences1680-73401680-73592010-02-0123111610.5194/adgeo-23-11-2010Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF modelB. Lynn0Y. Yair1The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, IsraelThe Open University of Israel, Ra'anana, IsraelThe Lightning Potential Index (LPI) is a measure of the potential for charge generation and separation that leads to lightning flashes in convective thunderstorms. It is calculated from model simulated updraft and microphysical fields. It was designed to predict the potential of lightning occurrence in operational weather forecasting models, but could possibly be used to improve short-range forecasts of heavy rain. The index is modified here to be model grid-scale transparent between 1 and 4 km (the approximate upper limit of explicit microphysical weather forecasts). Two case studies show that the modification appears to work quite well, and that LPI can be calculated on both an extremely high resolution research-grid (i.e., 1.33 km) and high resolution (i.e., 4 km) operationally compatible forecast grid. Analytical expressions are presented to use the LPI to predict the hourly lightning flash density.http://www.adv-geosci.net/23/11/2010/adgeo-23-11-2010.pdf
spellingShingle B. Lynn
Y. Yair
Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
Advances in Geosciences
title Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
title_full Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
title_fullStr Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
title_short Prediction of lightning flash density with the WRF model
title_sort prediction of lightning flash density with the wrf model
url http://www.adv-geosci.net/23/11/2010/adgeo-23-11-2010.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT blynn predictionoflightningflashdensitywiththewrfmodel
AT yyair predictionoflightningflashdensitywiththewrfmodel