PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model

The plasmasphere is a region of cold and dense plasma around the Earth, corotating with the Earth. Its plasma density is very dynamic under the influence of the solar wind and it influences several processes such as the GPS navigation, the surface charging of the satellites and the propagation and g...

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Main Authors: Stefano Bianco, Bernhard Haas, Yuri Y. Shprits
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fspas.2023.1116396/full
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author Stefano Bianco
Bernhard Haas
Bernhard Haas
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
author_facet Stefano Bianco
Bernhard Haas
Bernhard Haas
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
author_sort Stefano Bianco
collection DOAJ
description The plasmasphere is a region of cold and dense plasma around the Earth, corotating with the Earth. Its plasma density is very dynamic under the influence of the solar wind and it influences several processes such as the GPS navigation, the surface charging of the satellites and the propagation and growth of plasma waves. In this manuscript, we present a new machine-learning model of the equatorial plasma density depending only on the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at the L1 Lagrange point. We call this model PINE-RT as it has been inspired by the recently-introduced PINE (Plasma density in the Inner magnetosphere Neural network-based Empirical) model and it has been developed to run in real-time (RT) in the context of the PAGER project. This project is an EU Horizon 2020 project aiming at forecasting the threats of satellite charging as a consequence of the solar activity 1–2 days ahead. In PAGER, the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at L1 are the inputs which are made available for the plasmasphere modeling. We report here the detailed derivation of the PINE-RT model and its validation and comparison with two state-of-the-art machine-learning and physics-based models. The model is currently running in real-time and its predictions are publicly available.
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spelling doaj.art-07d25267f4414919bf3801fbf76dec1d2023-03-09T05:23:44ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences2296-987X2023-03-011010.3389/fspas.2023.11163961116396PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere modelStefano Bianco0Bernhard Haas1Bernhard Haas2Yuri Y. Shprits3Yuri Y. Shprits4Yuri Y. Shprits5GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, GermanyGFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, GermanyInstitute of Physics and Astronomy, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, GermanyGFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, GermanyInstitute of Physics and Astronomy, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, GermanyDepartment of Earth, Planetary and Space Sciences, College of Physical Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United StatesThe plasmasphere is a region of cold and dense plasma around the Earth, corotating with the Earth. Its plasma density is very dynamic under the influence of the solar wind and it influences several processes such as the GPS navigation, the surface charging of the satellites and the propagation and growth of plasma waves. In this manuscript, we present a new machine-learning model of the equatorial plasma density depending only on the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at the L1 Lagrange point. We call this model PINE-RT as it has been inspired by the recently-introduced PINE (Plasma density in the Inner magnetosphere Neural network-based Empirical) model and it has been developed to run in real-time (RT) in the context of the PAGER project. This project is an EU Horizon 2020 project aiming at forecasting the threats of satellite charging as a consequence of the solar activity 1–2 days ahead. In PAGER, the Kp index and the solar-wind properties at L1 are the inputs which are made available for the plasmasphere modeling. We report here the detailed derivation of the PINE-RT model and its validation and comparison with two state-of-the-art machine-learning and physics-based models. The model is currently running in real-time and its predictions are publicly available.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fspas.2023.1116396/fulloperational real-time plasmasphere modelmachine learningneural networksPAGER projectplasmasphere
spellingShingle Stefano Bianco
Bernhard Haas
Bernhard Haas
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
Yuri Y. Shprits
PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences
operational real-time plasmasphere model
machine learning
neural networks
PAGER project
plasmasphere
title PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
title_full PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
title_fullStr PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
title_full_unstemmed PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
title_short PINE-RT: An operational real-time plasmasphere model
title_sort pine rt an operational real time plasmasphere model
topic operational real-time plasmasphere model
machine learning
neural networks
PAGER project
plasmasphere
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fspas.2023.1116396/full
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