On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures

This review paper discusses advances of statistical inference in modeling extreme observations from multiple sources and heterogeneous populations. The paper starts briefly reviewing classical univariate/multivariate extreme value theory, tail equivalence, and tail (in)dependence. New extreme value...

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Main Author: Zhengjun Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-01-01
Series:Statistical Theory and Related Fields
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856590
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author Zhengjun Zhang
author_facet Zhengjun Zhang
author_sort Zhengjun Zhang
collection DOAJ
description This review paper discusses advances of statistical inference in modeling extreme observations from multiple sources and heterogeneous populations. The paper starts briefly reviewing classical univariate/multivariate extreme value theory, tail equivalence, and tail (in)dependence. New extreme value theory for heterogeneous populations is then introduced. Time series models for maxima and extreme observations are the focus of the review. These models naturally form a new system with similar structures. They can be used as alternatives to the widely used ARMA models and GARCH models. Applications of these time series models can be in many fields. The paper discusses two important applications: systematic risks and extreme co-movements/large scale contagions.
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spelling doaj.art-07f5c3f4343c4196ba5ffc50694044ae2023-09-22T09:19:46ZengTaylor & Francis GroupStatistical Theory and Related Fields2475-42692475-42772021-01-015112510.1080/24754269.2020.18565901856590On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measuresZhengjun Zhang0University of Wisconsin-MadisonThis review paper discusses advances of statistical inference in modeling extreme observations from multiple sources and heterogeneous populations. The paper starts briefly reviewing classical univariate/multivariate extreme value theory, tail equivalence, and tail (in)dependence. New extreme value theory for heterogeneous populations is then introduced. Time series models for maxima and extreme observations are the focus of the review. These models naturally form a new system with similar structures. They can be used as alternatives to the widely used ARMA models and GARCH models. Applications of these time series models can be in many fields. The paper discusses two important applications: systematic risks and extreme co-movements/large scale contagions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856590extreme value theorytail dependence indextime series of maximamaxima of moving maximaautoregressive tail index models
spellingShingle Zhengjun Zhang
On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
Statistical Theory and Related Fields
extreme value theory
tail dependence index
time series of maxima
maxima of moving maxima
autoregressive tail index models
title On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
title_full On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
title_fullStr On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
title_full_unstemmed On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
title_short On studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
title_sort on studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures
topic extreme value theory
tail dependence index
time series of maxima
maxima of moving maxima
autoregressive tail index models
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24754269.2020.1856590
work_keys_str_mv AT zhengjunzhang onstudyingextremevaluesandsystematicriskswithnonlineartimeseriesmodelsandtaildependencemeasures