A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research

The objective of this paper is to critically evaluate the main weaknesses associated with the limitations of financial failure prediction research studies. For more than 80 years, researchers have unsuccessfully studied ways to create a general theory of financial failure, which is useful for predi...

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Main Authors: Erkki K. Laitinen, María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano, Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Murcia 2023-07-01
Series:Revista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/453041
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author Erkki K. Laitinen
María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano
Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo
author_facet Erkki K. Laitinen
María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano
Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo
author_sort Erkki K. Laitinen
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this paper is to critically evaluate the main weaknesses associated with the limitations of financial failure prediction research studies. For more than 80 years, researchers have unsuccessfully studied ways to create a general theory of financial failure, which is useful for prediction. In this paper, we review the main boundaries of failure prediction research through a critical evaluation of previous papers and our own approach from the research experience. Our findings corroborate that these studies suffer from a lack of theoretical and dynamic research, an unclear definition of failure, deficiencies with the quality of financial statement data and a shortfall in the diagnostic analyses of failure. The most relevant implications for future research in this area are also outlined. This is the first study to analyse in deep the caveats of financial failure prediction studies, a crucial topic nowadays due to the hints of an economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-080621f223e74a6eb14c6aa0686751f82023-07-03T08:49:49ZengUniversidad de MurciaRevista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review1138-48911988-46722023-07-0126210.6018/rcsar.453041A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction researchErkki K. Laitinen0María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano1Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo2University of VaasaComplutense University of MadridCentro Universitario de Estudios Financieros-CUNEF The objective of this paper is to critically evaluate the main weaknesses associated with the limitations of financial failure prediction research studies. For more than 80 years, researchers have unsuccessfully studied ways to create a general theory of financial failure, which is useful for prediction. In this paper, we review the main boundaries of failure prediction research through a critical evaluation of previous papers and our own approach from the research experience. Our findings corroborate that these studies suffer from a lack of theoretical and dynamic research, an unclear definition of failure, deficiencies with the quality of financial statement data and a shortfall in the diagnostic analyses of failure. The most relevant implications for future research in this area are also outlined. This is the first study to analyse in deep the caveats of financial failure prediction studies, a crucial topic nowadays due to the hints of an economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/453041Financial distressFinancial failureBankruptcyPredictionLimitations
spellingShingle Erkki K. Laitinen
María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano
Nora Muñoz-Izquierdo
A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
Revista de Contabilidad: Spanish Accounting Review
Financial distress
Financial failure
Bankruptcy
Prediction
Limitations
title A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
title_full A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
title_fullStr A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
title_full_unstemmed A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
title_short A review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
title_sort review of the limitations of financial failure prediction research
topic Financial distress
Financial failure
Bankruptcy
Prediction
Limitations
url https://revistas.um.es/rcsar/article/view/453041
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