Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets

Buy cheap and sell more expensive is one of the basic ideas of trading the capital markets for hundreds of years. To apply it in practice has become difficult nowadays due to the high price volatility. The uncertainty in the price movements often leads to high-risk allocation. One main question is w...

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Main Author: Păuna Cristian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2019-03-01
Series:Management şi Marketing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/mmcks-2019-0006
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author Păuna Cristian
author_facet Păuna Cristian
author_sort Păuna Cristian
collection DOAJ
description Buy cheap and sell more expensive is one of the basic ideas of trading the capital markets for hundreds of years. To apply it in practice has become difficult nowadays due to the high price volatility. The uncertainty in the price movements often leads to high-risk allocation. One main question is when the price is low enough for a low-risk entry? Once established an entry point, the second question is how long to keep the open trades in order to optimize the investment efficiency? This article will answer these questions. A general trading algorithm based on the price cyclical behavior will be revealed. The mathematical model is developed using the Price Cyclicality Function combined with other computational techniques in order to establish low-risk intervals. The algorithm will use multiple entry points in order to catch the best price opportunities. A simple empirical exit algorithm will be optimized in order to maximize the profit for a certain capital exposure level. The presented model uses a low number of functional parameters which can be optimized with a reasonable computational effort for any financial market. Trading results obtained for several markets will also be included in this paper in order to reveal the efficiency of the presented methodology. It was found that the Low-Risk Trading Algorithm can be used with good results for algorithmic trading in any financial market. With the right parameters set, this methodology can be wide range applied in the stock markets, currency and cryptocurrency markets, commodities and raw materials markets and even for the real estate investments. The simplicity of the presented model and the good efficiency level obtained will recommend it. This methodology can be used by any investor in order to manage the investment plan with multiple capital markets.
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spelling doaj.art-08132930d143495fabc4b7e2de853d712022-12-22T03:39:02ZengSciendoManagement şi Marketing2069-88872019-03-01141808910.2478/mmcks-2019-0006Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital marketsPăuna Cristian0Economic Informatics Doctoral School, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, RomaniaBuy cheap and sell more expensive is one of the basic ideas of trading the capital markets for hundreds of years. To apply it in practice has become difficult nowadays due to the high price volatility. The uncertainty in the price movements often leads to high-risk allocation. One main question is when the price is low enough for a low-risk entry? Once established an entry point, the second question is how long to keep the open trades in order to optimize the investment efficiency? This article will answer these questions. A general trading algorithm based on the price cyclical behavior will be revealed. The mathematical model is developed using the Price Cyclicality Function combined with other computational techniques in order to establish low-risk intervals. The algorithm will use multiple entry points in order to catch the best price opportunities. A simple empirical exit algorithm will be optimized in order to maximize the profit for a certain capital exposure level. The presented model uses a low number of functional parameters which can be optimized with a reasonable computational effort for any financial market. Trading results obtained for several markets will also be included in this paper in order to reveal the efficiency of the presented methodology. It was found that the Low-Risk Trading Algorithm can be used with good results for algorithmic trading in any financial market. With the right parameters set, this methodology can be wide range applied in the stock markets, currency and cryptocurrency markets, commodities and raw materials markets and even for the real estate investments. The simplicity of the presented model and the good efficiency level obtained will recommend it. This methodology can be used by any investor in order to manage the investment plan with multiple capital markets.https://doi.org/10.2478/mmcks-2019-0006capital marketsprice cyclicalitytrading methodologycapital investmentlow risk
spellingShingle Păuna Cristian
Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
Management şi Marketing
capital markets
price cyclicality
trading methodology
capital investment
low risk
title Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
title_full Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
title_fullStr Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
title_full_unstemmed Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
title_short Low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
title_sort low risk trading algorithm based on the price cyclicality function for capital markets
topic capital markets
price cyclicality
trading methodology
capital investment
low risk
url https://doi.org/10.2478/mmcks-2019-0006
work_keys_str_mv AT paunacristian lowrisktradingalgorithmbasedonthepricecyclicalityfunctionforcapitalmarkets