A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.

Modeling and forecasting stock prices have been important financial research topics in academia. This study seeks to determine whether improvements can be achieved by forecasting a stock index using a hybrid model and incorporating financial variables. We extend the literature on stock market foreca...

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Main Authors: Xiaohua Zeng, Jieping Cai, Changzhou Liang, Chiping Yuan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0272637
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author Xiaohua Zeng
Jieping Cai
Changzhou Liang
Chiping Yuan
author_facet Xiaohua Zeng
Jieping Cai
Changzhou Liang
Chiping Yuan
author_sort Xiaohua Zeng
collection DOAJ
description Modeling and forecasting stock prices have been important financial research topics in academia. This study seeks to determine whether improvements can be achieved by forecasting a stock index using a hybrid model and incorporating financial variables. We extend the literature on stock market forecasting by applying a hybrid model that combines wavelet transform (WT), long short-term memory (LSTM), and an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) based on individual ranking to predict stock indices for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index of the New York Stock Exchange, Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) index, Nikkei 225 index of Tokyo, Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong market, CSI300 index of Chinese mainland stock market, and NIFTY50 index of India. The results indicate an overall improvement in forecasting of the stock index using the AGA-LSTM model compared to the benchmark models. The evaluation indicators prove that this model has a higher prediction accuracy when forecasting six stock indices.
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spelling doaj.art-08147b602e3a4909bace83270134d5162022-12-22T04:25:10ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-01178e027263710.1371/journal.pone.0272637A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.Xiaohua ZengJieping CaiChangzhou LiangChiping YuanModeling and forecasting stock prices have been important financial research topics in academia. This study seeks to determine whether improvements can be achieved by forecasting a stock index using a hybrid model and incorporating financial variables. We extend the literature on stock market forecasting by applying a hybrid model that combines wavelet transform (WT), long short-term memory (LSTM), and an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) based on individual ranking to predict stock indices for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index of the New York Stock Exchange, Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) index, Nikkei 225 index of Tokyo, Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong market, CSI300 index of Chinese mainland stock market, and NIFTY50 index of India. The results indicate an overall improvement in forecasting of the stock index using the AGA-LSTM model compared to the benchmark models. The evaluation indicators prove that this model has a higher prediction accuracy when forecasting six stock indices.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0272637
spellingShingle Xiaohua Zeng
Jieping Cai
Changzhou Liang
Chiping Yuan
A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
PLoS ONE
title A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
title_full A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
title_fullStr A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
title_full_unstemmed A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
title_short A hybrid model integrating long short-term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction.
title_sort hybrid model integrating long short term memory with adaptive genetic algorithm based on individual ranking for stock index prediction
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0272637
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