Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change
Abstract Satyrium is an endangered and rare genus of plant that has various pharmacodynamic functions. In this study, optimized MaxEnt models were used in analyzing potential geographical distributions under current and future climatic conditions (the 2050s and 2070s) and dominant environmental vari...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2022-07-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Evolution |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9054 |
| _version_ | 1828777128317943808 |
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| author | Xianheng Ouyang Shihao Bai Garry Brien Strachan Anliang Chen |
| author_facet | Xianheng Ouyang Shihao Bai Garry Brien Strachan Anliang Chen |
| author_sort | Xianheng Ouyang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Satyrium is an endangered and rare genus of plant that has various pharmacodynamic functions. In this study, optimized MaxEnt models were used in analyzing potential geographical distributions under current and future climatic conditions (the 2050s and 2070s) and dominant environmental variables influencing their geographic distribution. The results provided reference for implementation of long‐term conservation and management approaches for the species. The results showed that the area of the total suitable habitat for Satyrium ciliatum (S. ciliatum) in China is 32.51 × 104 km2, the total suitable habitat area for Satyrium nepalense (S. nepalense) in China is 61.76 × 104 km2, and the area of the total suitable habitat for Satyrium yunnanense (S. yunnanense) in China is 89.73 × 104 km2 under current climatic conditions. The potential suitable habitat of Satyrium is mainly distributed in Southwest China. The major environmental variables influencing the geographical distribution of S. ciliatum were isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and mean temperature of coldest quarter (bio11). Environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19) affected the geographical distribution of S. nepalense; and environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and lower temperature of coldest month (bio6) affected the geographical distribution of S. yunnanense. The distribution range of Satyrium was extended as global warming increased, showing emissions of greenhouse gases with lower concentration (SSP1‐2.6) and higher concentration (SSP5‐8.5). According to the study, the distribution of suitable habitat will shift with a change to higher elevation areas and higher latitude areas in the future. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-11T16:15:22Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-081e299b255b45c0b96da9208d6b3326 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-7758 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-11T16:15:22Z |
| publishDate | 2022-07-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Evolution |
| spelling | doaj.art-081e299b255b45c0b96da9208d6b33262022-12-22T00:58:58ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582022-07-01127n/an/a10.1002/ece3.9054Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate changeXianheng Ouyang0Shihao Bai1Garry Brien Strachan2Anliang Chen3School of Forestry and Biotechnology Zhejiang A&F University Hangzhou ChinaShanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Humanities and Law Zhejiang A&F University Hangzhou ChinaSchool of Forestry and Biotechnology Zhejiang A&F University Hangzhou ChinaAbstract Satyrium is an endangered and rare genus of plant that has various pharmacodynamic functions. In this study, optimized MaxEnt models were used in analyzing potential geographical distributions under current and future climatic conditions (the 2050s and 2070s) and dominant environmental variables influencing their geographic distribution. The results provided reference for implementation of long‐term conservation and management approaches for the species. The results showed that the area of the total suitable habitat for Satyrium ciliatum (S. ciliatum) in China is 32.51 × 104 km2, the total suitable habitat area for Satyrium nepalense (S. nepalense) in China is 61.76 × 104 km2, and the area of the total suitable habitat for Satyrium yunnanense (S. yunnanense) in China is 89.73 × 104 km2 under current climatic conditions. The potential suitable habitat of Satyrium is mainly distributed in Southwest China. The major environmental variables influencing the geographical distribution of S. ciliatum were isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and mean temperature of coldest quarter (bio11). Environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19) affected the geographical distribution of S. nepalense; and environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and lower temperature of coldest month (bio6) affected the geographical distribution of S. yunnanense. The distribution range of Satyrium was extended as global warming increased, showing emissions of greenhouse gases with lower concentration (SSP1‐2.6) and higher concentration (SSP5‐8.5). According to the study, the distribution of suitable habitat will shift with a change to higher elevation areas and higher latitude areas in the future.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9054environmental variablesMaxEntpotential suitable habitatSatyrium |
| spellingShingle | Xianheng Ouyang Shihao Bai Garry Brien Strachan Anliang Chen Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change Ecology and Evolution environmental variables MaxEnt potential suitable habitat Satyrium |
| title | Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change |
| title_full | Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change |
| title_fullStr | Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change |
| title_short | Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change |
| title_sort | simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered satyrium species in china under climate change |
| topic | environmental variables MaxEnt potential suitable habitat Satyrium |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9054 |
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