A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift

We present a brute-force approach to analyze the concept drift behind time sequence data. This approach, named SELECT, searches for the optimal length of training data to minimize error metrics. In other words, SELECT searches for the start point of a new concept from the input sequence. Unlike many...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Takumi Uchida, Kenichi Yoshida
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Physics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2022.1016564/full
_version_ 1797951766123249664
author Takumi Uchida
Takumi Uchida
Kenichi Yoshida
author_facet Takumi Uchida
Takumi Uchida
Kenichi Yoshida
author_sort Takumi Uchida
collection DOAJ
description We present a brute-force approach to analyze the concept drift behind time sequence data. This approach, named SELECT, searches for the optimal length of training data to minimize error metrics. In other words, SELECT searches for the start point of a new concept from the input sequence. Unlike many related methods, SELECT does not require a pre-specified error threshold to detect drift. In addition, the visual analysis obtained from SELECT enables us to understand how significant a drift has occurred. We test SELECT on two real-world datasets, stock price and COVID-19 infection data. The experimental results show that SELECT can improve the model performance of both datasets. In addition, the visual analysis shows the points of significant drifts, e.g., Lehman’s collapse in stock price data and the spread of variants in COVID-19 data. These results show the effectiveness of the brute-force approach in analyzing concept drift.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T22:35:48Z
format Article
id doaj.art-08405b3615b74b16bdf066725bc1b232
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2296-424X
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T22:35:48Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Physics
spelling doaj.art-08405b3615b74b16bdf066725bc1b2322023-01-16T13:47:54ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Physics2296-424X2023-01-011010.3389/fphy.2022.10165641016564A brute force tuning of training length for concept driftTakumi Uchida0Takumi Uchida1Kenichi Yoshida2Tsukuba AI Application Support Center Co., Tokyo, JapanBusiness Informatics on Social Science, University of Tsukuba, Tokyo, JapanGraduate School of Business Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tokyo, JapanWe present a brute-force approach to analyze the concept drift behind time sequence data. This approach, named SELECT, searches for the optimal length of training data to minimize error metrics. In other words, SELECT searches for the start point of a new concept from the input sequence. Unlike many related methods, SELECT does not require a pre-specified error threshold to detect drift. In addition, the visual analysis obtained from SELECT enables us to understand how significant a drift has occurred. We test SELECT on two real-world datasets, stock price and COVID-19 infection data. The experimental results show that SELECT can improve the model performance of both datasets. In addition, the visual analysis shows the points of significant drifts, e.g., Lehman’s collapse in stock price data and the spread of variants in COVID-19 data. These results show the effectiveness of the brute-force approach in analyzing concept drift.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2022.1016564/fullconcept driftdrift detectionwindow strategystock price predictionCOVID-19
spellingShingle Takumi Uchida
Takumi Uchida
Kenichi Yoshida
A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
Frontiers in Physics
concept drift
drift detection
window strategy
stock price prediction
COVID-19
title A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
title_full A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
title_fullStr A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
title_full_unstemmed A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
title_short A brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
title_sort brute force tuning of training length for concept drift
topic concept drift
drift detection
window strategy
stock price prediction
COVID-19
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2022.1016564/full
work_keys_str_mv AT takumiuchida abruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift
AT takumiuchida abruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift
AT kenichiyoshida abruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift
AT takumiuchida bruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift
AT takumiuchida bruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift
AT kenichiyoshida bruteforcetuningoftraininglengthforconceptdrift