D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis
Background: Hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) is a critical illness with a low survival rate. Timely identification of prognostic indicators is crucial for risk stratification and personalized management of patients. The present study aimed to investigate the potential of th...
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Elsevier
2024-03-01
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024026161 |
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author | Xia He QiuMing Ding |
author_facet | Xia He QiuMing Ding |
author_sort | Xia He |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Background: Hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) is a critical illness with a low survival rate. Timely identification of prognostic indicators is crucial for risk stratification and personalized management of patients. The present study aimed to investigate the potential of the D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR) as a prognostic indicator for HBV-DC. Methods: A retrospective review of medical records was conducted for 164 patients diagnosed with HBV-DC. Baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics were extracted for analysis. The endpoint was 30-day mortality. Disease severity was assessed by the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. A multivariate logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC) were used to evaluate the predictive value of DPR for mortality. Results: During the 30-day follow-up period, 30 (18.3%) patients died. Non-survivors exhibited significantly higher DPR values than survivors, and a high DPR had a strong association with increased mortality. Importantly, DPR was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality in HBV-DC patients after adjustments for confounding factors (Odds ratio = 1.017; 95% Confidence interval, 1.006–1.029; p = 0.003). The cut-off value of DPR as a predictor of mortality was>57.6 (sensitivity = 57%, specificity = 86%, p < 0.001). The area under ROC curve for DPR for 30-day mortality was 0.762, comparable to the MELD score (p = 0.100). Furthermore, the combined use of DPR and MELD score further increased the area under the ROC curve to 0.897. Conclusion: Elevated DPR was demonstrated to have a correlation with unfavorable outcomes in HBV-DC patients, suggesting its potential utility as an effective biomarker for assessment of prognosis in these patients. |
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institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2405-8440 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T23:15:46Z |
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series | Heliyon |
spelling | doaj.art-087c4096a87c4992bb2a6f465af102d22024-03-17T07:55:48ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402024-03-01105e26585D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosisXia He0QiuMing Ding1Corresponding author.; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Shengzhou People's Hospital, Shengzhou Branch of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Shengzhou, 312400, ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Shengzhou People's Hospital, Shengzhou Branch of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Shengzhou, 312400, ChinaBackground: Hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) is a critical illness with a low survival rate. Timely identification of prognostic indicators is crucial for risk stratification and personalized management of patients. The present study aimed to investigate the potential of the D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR) as a prognostic indicator for HBV-DC. Methods: A retrospective review of medical records was conducted for 164 patients diagnosed with HBV-DC. Baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics were extracted for analysis. The endpoint was 30-day mortality. Disease severity was assessed by the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. A multivariate logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC) were used to evaluate the predictive value of DPR for mortality. Results: During the 30-day follow-up period, 30 (18.3%) patients died. Non-survivors exhibited significantly higher DPR values than survivors, and a high DPR had a strong association with increased mortality. Importantly, DPR was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality in HBV-DC patients after adjustments for confounding factors (Odds ratio = 1.017; 95% Confidence interval, 1.006–1.029; p = 0.003). The cut-off value of DPR as a predictor of mortality was>57.6 (sensitivity = 57%, specificity = 86%, p < 0.001). The area under ROC curve for DPR for 30-day mortality was 0.762, comparable to the MELD score (p = 0.100). Furthermore, the combined use of DPR and MELD score further increased the area under the ROC curve to 0.897. Conclusion: Elevated DPR was demonstrated to have a correlation with unfavorable outcomes in HBV-DC patients, suggesting its potential utility as an effective biomarker for assessment of prognosis in these patients.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024026161D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR)Hepatitis B virusDecompensated cirrhosisPredictor |
spellingShingle | Xia He QiuMing Ding D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis Heliyon D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR) Hepatitis B virus Decompensated cirrhosis Predictor |
title | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis |
title_full | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis |
title_fullStr | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis |
title_full_unstemmed | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis |
title_short | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis |
title_sort | d dimer to platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in hbv related decompensated cirrhosis |
topic | D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR) Hepatitis B virus Decompensated cirrhosis Predictor |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024026161 |
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