Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions

Abstract This study introduces a method to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of plain bearings operating under stationary, wear-critical conditions. In this method, the transient wear data of a coupled elastohydrodynamic lubrication (mixed-EHL) and wear simulation approach is used to parametri...

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Main Authors: Florian König, Florian Wirsing, Georg Jacobs, Rui He, Zhigang Tian, Ming J. Zuo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-12-01
Series:Friction
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s40544-023-0814-y
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author Florian König
Florian Wirsing
Georg Jacobs
Rui He
Zhigang Tian
Ming J. Zuo
author_facet Florian König
Florian Wirsing
Georg Jacobs
Rui He
Zhigang Tian
Ming J. Zuo
author_sort Florian König
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study introduces a method to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of plain bearings operating under stationary, wear-critical conditions. In this method, the transient wear data of a coupled elastohydrodynamic lubrication (mixed-EHL) and wear simulation approach is used to parametrize a statistical, linear degradation model. The method incorporates Bayesian inference to update the linear degradation model throughout the runtime and thereby consider the transient, system-dependent wear progression within the RUL prediction. A case study is used to show the suitability of the proposed method. The results show that the method can be applied to three distinct types of post-wearing-in behavior: wearing-in with subsequent hydrodynamic, stationary wear, and progressive wear operation. While hydrodynamic operation leads to an infinite lifetime, the method is successfully applied to predict RUL in cases with stationary and progressive wear.
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spelling doaj.art-0881f7003ab241f4af2a9e081dbaa6942024-04-07T11:30:26ZengSpringerOpenFriction2223-76902223-77042023-12-011261272128210.1007/s40544-023-0814-yBayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditionsFlorian König0Florian Wirsing1Georg Jacobs2Rui He3Zhigang Tian4Ming J. Zuo5Institute for Machine Elements and Systems Engineering, RWTH Aachen UniversityInstitute for Machine Elements and Systems Engineering, RWTH Aachen UniversityInstitute for Machine Elements and Systems Engineering, RWTH Aachen UniversityDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, University of AlbertaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, University of AlbertaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, University of AlbertaAbstract This study introduces a method to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of plain bearings operating under stationary, wear-critical conditions. In this method, the transient wear data of a coupled elastohydrodynamic lubrication (mixed-EHL) and wear simulation approach is used to parametrize a statistical, linear degradation model. The method incorporates Bayesian inference to update the linear degradation model throughout the runtime and thereby consider the transient, system-dependent wear progression within the RUL prediction. A case study is used to show the suitability of the proposed method. The results show that the method can be applied to three distinct types of post-wearing-in behavior: wearing-in with subsequent hydrodynamic, stationary wear, and progressive wear operation. While hydrodynamic operation leads to an infinite lifetime, the method is successfully applied to predict RUL in cases with stationary and progressive wear.https://doi.org/10.1007/s40544-023-0814-yplain bearingswear modelingremaining useful life predictionBayesian inference
spellingShingle Florian König
Florian Wirsing
Georg Jacobs
Rui He
Zhigang Tian
Ming J. Zuo
Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
Friction
plain bearings
wear modeling
remaining useful life prediction
Bayesian inference
title Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
title_full Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
title_fullStr Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
title_short Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions
title_sort bayesian inference based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed friction conditions
topic plain bearings
wear modeling
remaining useful life prediction
Bayesian inference
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s40544-023-0814-y
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