Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis

Economists generally accept the proposition that high and volatile inflation rates generate inefficiencies that reduce society’s welfare. Furthermore studies have shown that inflation is harmful to economic growth. However determining the causes of the worldwide diversity of inflationary experiences...

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Main Authors: Aisen Ari, Veiga Francisco Jose
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Economists' Association of Vojvodina 2007-01-01
Series:Panoeconomicus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2007/1452-595X0701005A.pdf
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author Aisen Ari
Veiga Francisco Jose
author_facet Aisen Ari
Veiga Francisco Jose
author_sort Aisen Ari
collection DOAJ
description Economists generally accept the proposition that high and volatile inflation rates generate inefficiencies that reduce society’s welfare. Furthermore studies have shown that inflation is harmful to economic growth. However determining the causes of the worldwide diversity of inflationary experiences is an important challenge not yet satisfactorily confronted by the profession. Based on a broad dataset covering over 100 countries for the period 1975-1997 and using dynamic and static panel data econometric techniques, this paper shows that a higher degree of political instability is associated with both higher inflation levels and volatility. Not only does this paper advance the political economy literature establishing a relationship between inflation moments and political instability, but it also has important policy implications regarding the optimal design of inflation stabilization programs and of the institutions favorable to price stability.
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spelling doaj.art-08964c8f9d7545f3bf4e211d03558d392022-12-22T03:12:09ZengEconomists' Association of VojvodinaPanoeconomicus1452-595X2007-01-0154152710.2298/PAN0701005ADoes political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysisAisen AriVeiga Francisco JoseEconomists generally accept the proposition that high and volatile inflation rates generate inefficiencies that reduce society’s welfare. Furthermore studies have shown that inflation is harmful to economic growth. However determining the causes of the worldwide diversity of inflationary experiences is an important challenge not yet satisfactorily confronted by the profession. Based on a broad dataset covering over 100 countries for the period 1975-1997 and using dynamic and static panel data econometric techniques, this paper shows that a higher degree of political instability is associated with both higher inflation levels and volatility. Not only does this paper advance the political economy literature establishing a relationship between inflation moments and political instability, but it also has important policy implications regarding the optimal design of inflation stabilization programs and of the institutions favorable to price stability.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2007/1452-595X0701005A.pdfinflationvolatilitypolitical instabilityinstitutions
spellingShingle Aisen Ari
Veiga Francisco Jose
Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
Panoeconomicus
inflation
volatility
political instability
institutions
title Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
title_full Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
title_fullStr Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
title_full_unstemmed Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
title_short Does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation?: A panel data analysis
title_sort does political instability lead to higher and more volatile inflation a panel data analysis
topic inflation
volatility
political instability
institutions
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2007/1452-595X0701005A.pdf
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