Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements

Abstract While multiple information sources exist concerning surface‐level air pollution, no individual source simultaneously provides large‐scale spatial coverage, fine spatial and temporal resolution, and high accuracy. It is, therefore, necessary to integrate multiple data sources, using the stre...

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Main Authors: C. Malings, K. E. Knowland, C. A. Keller, S. E. Cohn
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2021-07-01
Series:Earth and Space Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001743
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author C. Malings
K. E. Knowland
C. A. Keller
S. E. Cohn
author_facet C. Malings
K. E. Knowland
C. A. Keller
S. E. Cohn
author_sort C. Malings
collection DOAJ
description Abstract While multiple information sources exist concerning surface‐level air pollution, no individual source simultaneously provides large‐scale spatial coverage, fine spatial and temporal resolution, and high accuracy. It is, therefore, necessary to integrate multiple data sources, using the strengths of each source to compensate for the weaknesses of others. In this study, we propose a method incorporating outputs of NASA’s GEOS Composition Forecasting model system with satellite information from the TROPOMI instrument and ground measurement data on surface concentrations. Although we use ground monitoring data from the Environmental Protection Agency network in the continental United States, the model and satellite data sources used have the potential to allow for global application. This method is demonstrated using surface measurements of nitrogen dioxide as a test case in regions surrounding five major US cities. The proposed method is assessed through cross‐validation against withheld ground monitoring sites. In these assessments, the proposed method demonstrates major improvements over two baseline approaches which use ground‐based measurements only. Results also indicate the potential for near‐term updating of forecasts based on recent ground measurements.
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spelling doaj.art-08bb06aa29484776ac949e5cc255f8cf2022-12-21T22:25:21ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Earth and Space Science2333-50842021-07-0187n/an/a10.1029/2021EA001743Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground MeasurementsC. Malings0K. E. Knowland1C. A. Keller2S. E. Cohn3Goddard Space Flight Center NASA Postdoctoral Program Fellow Greenbelt MD USAGoddard Space Flight Center Global Modeling and Assimilation Office Greenbelt MD USAGoddard Space Flight Center Global Modeling and Assimilation Office Greenbelt MD USAGoddard Space Flight Center Global Modeling and Assimilation Office Greenbelt MD USAAbstract While multiple information sources exist concerning surface‐level air pollution, no individual source simultaneously provides large‐scale spatial coverage, fine spatial and temporal resolution, and high accuracy. It is, therefore, necessary to integrate multiple data sources, using the strengths of each source to compensate for the weaknesses of others. In this study, we propose a method incorporating outputs of NASA’s GEOS Composition Forecasting model system with satellite information from the TROPOMI instrument and ground measurement data on surface concentrations. Although we use ground monitoring data from the Environmental Protection Agency network in the continental United States, the model and satellite data sources used have the potential to allow for global application. This method is demonstrated using surface measurements of nitrogen dioxide as a test case in regions surrounding five major US cities. The proposed method is assessed through cross‐validation against withheld ground monitoring sites. In these assessments, the proposed method demonstrates major improvements over two baseline approaches which use ground‐based measurements only. Results also indicate the potential for near‐term updating of forecasts based on recent ground measurements.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001743Air qualityurbanmodelingforecastingGEOS‐CFTROPOMI
spellingShingle C. Malings
K. E. Knowland
C. A. Keller
S. E. Cohn
Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
Earth and Space Science
Air quality
urban
modeling
forecasting
GEOS‐CF
TROPOMI
title Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
title_full Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
title_fullStr Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
title_full_unstemmed Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
title_short Sub‐City Scale Hourly Air Quality Forecasting by Combining Models, Satellite Observations, and Ground Measurements
title_sort sub city scale hourly air quality forecasting by combining models satellite observations and ground measurements
topic Air quality
urban
modeling
forecasting
GEOS‐CF
TROPOMI
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001743
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AT keknowland subcityscalehourlyairqualityforecastingbycombiningmodelssatelliteobservationsandgroundmeasurements
AT cakeller subcityscalehourlyairqualityforecastingbycombiningmodelssatelliteobservationsandgroundmeasurements
AT secohn subcityscalehourlyairqualityforecastingbycombiningmodelssatelliteobservationsandgroundmeasurements