Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning

Today’s conflicts are becoming increasingly complex, fluid, and fragmented, often involving a host of national and international actors with multiple and often divergent interests. This development poses significant challenges for conflict mediation, as mediators struggle to make sense of conflict d...

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Main Authors: Miguel Arana-Catania, Felix-Anselm van Lier, Rob Procter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2022-01-01
Series:Data & Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324922000190/type/journal_article
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author Miguel Arana-Catania
Felix-Anselm van Lier
Rob Procter
author_facet Miguel Arana-Catania
Felix-Anselm van Lier
Rob Procter
author_sort Miguel Arana-Catania
collection DOAJ
description Today’s conflicts are becoming increasingly complex, fluid, and fragmented, often involving a host of national and international actors with multiple and often divergent interests. This development poses significant challenges for conflict mediation, as mediators struggle to make sense of conflict dynamics, such as the range of conflict parties and the evolution of their political positions, the distinction between relevant and less relevant actors in peace-making, or the identification of key conflict issues and their interdependence. International peace efforts appear ill-equipped to successfully address these challenges. While technology is already being experimented with and used in a range of conflict related fields, such as conflict predicting or information gathering, less attention has been given to how technology can contribute to conflict mediation. This case study contributes to emerging research on the use of state-of-the-art machine learning technologies and techniques in conflict mediation processes. Using dialogue transcripts from peace negotiations in Yemen, this study shows how machine-learning can effectively support mediating teams by providing them with tools for knowledge management, extraction and conflict analysis. Apart from illustrating the potential of machine learning tools in conflict mediation, the article also emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary and participatory, cocreation methodology for the development of context-sensitive and targeted tools and to ensure meaningful and responsible implementation.
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spelling doaj.art-0922ca8305774ffc9ceb0334da76d8772023-03-09T12:31:38ZengCambridge University PressData & Policy2632-32492022-01-01410.1017/dap.2022.19Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learningMiguel Arana-Catania0Felix-Anselm van Lier1Rob Procter2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8059-5224Department of Computer Science, University of Warwick and Alan Turing Institute for Data Science and AI, Coventry, United KingdomGovernment Outcomes Lab, Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomDepartment of Computer Science, University of Warwick and Alan Turing Institute for Data Science and AI, Coventry, United KingdomToday’s conflicts are becoming increasingly complex, fluid, and fragmented, often involving a host of national and international actors with multiple and often divergent interests. This development poses significant challenges for conflict mediation, as mediators struggle to make sense of conflict dynamics, such as the range of conflict parties and the evolution of their political positions, the distinction between relevant and less relevant actors in peace-making, or the identification of key conflict issues and their interdependence. International peace efforts appear ill-equipped to successfully address these challenges. While technology is already being experimented with and used in a range of conflict related fields, such as conflict predicting or information gathering, less attention has been given to how technology can contribute to conflict mediation. This case study contributes to emerging research on the use of state-of-the-art machine learning technologies and techniques in conflict mediation processes. Using dialogue transcripts from peace negotiations in Yemen, this study shows how machine-learning can effectively support mediating teams by providing them with tools for knowledge management, extraction and conflict analysis. Apart from illustrating the potential of machine learning tools in conflict mediation, the article also emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary and participatory, cocreation methodology for the development of context-sensitive and targeted tools and to ensure meaningful and responsible implementation.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324922000190/type/journal_articleconflict mediationmachine learningNLPpeace-making
spellingShingle Miguel Arana-Catania
Felix-Anselm van Lier
Rob Procter
Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
Data & Policy
conflict mediation
machine learning
NLP
peace-making
title Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
title_full Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
title_fullStr Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
title_short Supporting peace negotiations in the Yemen war through machine learning
title_sort supporting peace negotiations in the yemen war through machine learning
topic conflict mediation
machine learning
NLP
peace-making
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632324922000190/type/journal_article
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AT felixanselmvanlier supportingpeacenegotiationsintheyemenwarthroughmachinelearning
AT robprocter supportingpeacenegotiationsintheyemenwarthroughmachinelearning