Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate

Applying the EGARCH model and using demand and supply analysis, this paper finds that the HUF/USD exchange rate (units of the Hungarian forint per U.S. dollar) is positively associated with the U.S. Treasury bill rate, U.S. real GDP, the U.S. stock index, the Hungarian inflation rate and the expecte...

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Main Author: Yu HSING
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2016-03-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1168.pdf
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author Yu HSING
author_facet Yu HSING
author_sort Yu HSING
collection DOAJ
description Applying the EGARCH model and using demand and supply analysis, this paper finds that the HUF/USD exchange rate (units of the Hungarian forint per U.S. dollar) is positively associated with the U.S. Treasury bill rate, U.S. real GDP, the U.S. stock index, the Hungarian inflation rate and the expected exchange rate and negatively influenced by the Hungarian Treasury bill rate, Hungarian real GDP, the Hungarian stock index, and the U.S. inflation rate. The HUF/USD exchange rate has a long-term equilibrium relationship with these time series variables.
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spelling doaj.art-0999b30475fc4cc39151eed679bcf9a92022-12-21T18:09:44ZengGeneral Association of Economists from RomaniaTheoretical and Applied Economics1841-86781844-00292016-03-01XXIII116317018418678Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rateYu HSING0 Southeastern Louisiana University, Hammond, USA Applying the EGARCH model and using demand and supply analysis, this paper finds that the HUF/USD exchange rate (units of the Hungarian forint per U.S. dollar) is positively associated with the U.S. Treasury bill rate, U.S. real GDP, the U.S. stock index, the Hungarian inflation rate and the expected exchange rate and negatively influenced by the Hungarian Treasury bill rate, Hungarian real GDP, the Hungarian stock index, and the U.S. inflation rate. The HUF/USD exchange rate has a long-term equilibrium relationship with these time series variables. http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1168.pdf Exchange ratesInterest ratesReal GDPStock indexesInflation ratesEGARCH
spellingShingle Yu HSING
Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
Theoretical and Applied Economics
Exchange rates
Interest rates
Real GDP
Stock indexes
Inflation rates
EGARCH
title Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
title_full Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
title_fullStr Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
title_short Determinants of the Hungarian forint/ US dollar exchange rate
title_sort determinants of the hungarian forint us dollar exchange rate
topic Exchange rates
Interest rates
Real GDP
Stock indexes
Inflation rates
EGARCH
url http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1168.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT yuhsing determinantsofthehungarianforintusdollarexchangerate