Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology

Abstract Climate change and human activities are transforming river flows globally, with potentially large consequences for freshwater life. To help inform watershed and flow management, there is a need for empirical studies linking flows and fish productivity. We tested the effects of river conditi...

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Main Authors: Luke Warkentin, Charles K. Parken, Richard Bailey, Jonathan W. Moore
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Ecological Solutions and Evidence
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12124
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author Luke Warkentin
Charles K. Parken
Richard Bailey
Jonathan W. Moore
author_facet Luke Warkentin
Charles K. Parken
Richard Bailey
Jonathan W. Moore
author_sort Luke Warkentin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Climate change and human activities are transforming river flows globally, with potentially large consequences for freshwater life. To help inform watershed and flow management, there is a need for empirical studies linking flows and fish productivity. We tested the effects of river conditions and other factors on 22 years of Chinook salmon productivity in a watershed in British Columbia, Canada. Freshwater conditions during adult salmon migration and spawning, as well as during juvenile rearing, explained a large amount of variation in productivity. August river flows while salmon fry reared had the strongest effect on productivity—our model predicted that cohorts that experience 50% below average flow in the August of rearing have 21% lower productivity. These contemporary relationships are set within long‐term changes in climate, land use, and hydrology. Over the last century, average August river discharge decreased by 26%, air temperatures warmed, and water withdrawals increased. Seventeen percent of the watershed was logged in the last 20 years. Our results suggest that, in order to remain stable, this Chinook salmon population being assessed for legal protection requires substantially higher August flow than previously recommended. Changing flow regimes—driven by watershed impacts and climate change—can threaten imperilled fish populations.
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spelling doaj.art-0a11659842cf469fbc457a81c3da3cbe2022-12-21T23:53:59ZengWileyEcological Solutions and Evidence2688-83192022-01-0131n/an/a10.1002/2688-8319.12124Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrologyLuke Warkentin0Charles K. Parken1Richard Bailey2Jonathan W. Moore3Department of Biological Sciences Simon Fraser University Burnaby British Columbia CanadaFisheries and Oceans Canada Kamloops British Columbia CanadaFisheries and Oceans Canada Kamloops British Columbia CanadaDepartment of Biological Sciences Simon Fraser University Burnaby British Columbia CanadaAbstract Climate change and human activities are transforming river flows globally, with potentially large consequences for freshwater life. To help inform watershed and flow management, there is a need for empirical studies linking flows and fish productivity. We tested the effects of river conditions and other factors on 22 years of Chinook salmon productivity in a watershed in British Columbia, Canada. Freshwater conditions during adult salmon migration and spawning, as well as during juvenile rearing, explained a large amount of variation in productivity. August river flows while salmon fry reared had the strongest effect on productivity—our model predicted that cohorts that experience 50% below average flow in the August of rearing have 21% lower productivity. These contemporary relationships are set within long‐term changes in climate, land use, and hydrology. Over the last century, average August river discharge decreased by 26%, air temperatures warmed, and water withdrawals increased. Seventeen percent of the watershed was logged in the last 20 years. Our results suggest that, in order to remain stable, this Chinook salmon population being assessed for legal protection requires substantially higher August flow than previously recommended. Changing flow regimes—driven by watershed impacts and climate change—can threaten imperilled fish populations.https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12124Chinook salmonclimate changecumulative effectsdroughtenvironmental flowsflow regime
spellingShingle Luke Warkentin
Charles K. Parken
Richard Bailey
Jonathan W. Moore
Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
Ecological Solutions and Evidence
Chinook salmon
climate change
cumulative effects
drought
environmental flows
flow regime
title Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
title_full Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
title_fullStr Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
title_full_unstemmed Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
title_short Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of Chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
title_sort low summer river flows associated with low productivity of chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology
topic Chinook salmon
climate change
cumulative effects
drought
environmental flows
flow regime
url https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12124
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