The use of foresight in technical systems

The study is intended for engineers designing technical systems. The analytic hierarchy process was used as the main tool of foresight. Nowadays, some experience in the design of technical systems is accumulated. However, in most cases, designers have to sort through all possible factors and paramet...

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Main Authors: Nikitin Sergey, Novikov Arthur, Novikova Tatyana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2019-01-01
Series:MATEC Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2019/14/matecconf_gccets2018_02021.pdf
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author Nikitin Sergey
Novikov Arthur
Novikova Tatyana
author_facet Nikitin Sergey
Novikov Arthur
Novikova Tatyana
author_sort Nikitin Sergey
collection DOAJ
description The study is intended for engineers designing technical systems. The analytic hierarchy process was used as the main tool of foresight. Nowadays, some experience in the design of technical systems is accumulated. However, in most cases, designers have to sort through all possible factors and parameters of devices. The involvement of experts will reduce the time range of research. The research results show a high Kendall’s coefficient of concordance 0.738. Research materials will allow planning experiments only with the most important factors. This will adjust the protocols for testing new technical systems and significantly reduce costs.
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spelling doaj.art-0a4163a02fd54dd58b3a45bded6778082022-12-21T22:44:31ZengEDP SciencesMATEC Web of Conferences2261-236X2019-01-012650202110.1051/matecconf/201926502021matecconf_gccets2018_02021The use of foresight in technical systemsNikitin Sergey0Novikov Arthur1Novikova Tatyana2Voronezh State Technical UniversityVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. MorozovVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. MorozovThe study is intended for engineers designing technical systems. The analytic hierarchy process was used as the main tool of foresight. Nowadays, some experience in the design of technical systems is accumulated. However, in most cases, designers have to sort through all possible factors and parameters of devices. The involvement of experts will reduce the time range of research. The research results show a high Kendall’s coefficient of concordance 0.738. Research materials will allow planning experiments only with the most important factors. This will adjust the protocols for testing new technical systems and significantly reduce costs.https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2019/14/matecconf_gccets2018_02021.pdf
spellingShingle Nikitin Sergey
Novikov Arthur
Novikova Tatyana
The use of foresight in technical systems
MATEC Web of Conferences
title The use of foresight in technical systems
title_full The use of foresight in technical systems
title_fullStr The use of foresight in technical systems
title_full_unstemmed The use of foresight in technical systems
title_short The use of foresight in technical systems
title_sort use of foresight in technical systems
url https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2019/14/matecconf_gccets2018_02021.pdf
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