Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces

Abstract Cybercrime is wreaking havoc on the global economy, national security, social stability, and individual interests. The current efforts to mitigate cybercrime threats are primarily focused on technical measures. This study considers cybercrime as a social phenomenon and constructs a theoreti...

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Main Authors: Shuai Chen, Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Dong Jiang, Jiping Dong, Shize Zhang, Qiquan Guo, Chundong Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2023-02-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x
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author Shuai Chen
Mengmeng Hao
Fangyu Ding
Dong Jiang
Jiping Dong
Shize Zhang
Qiquan Guo
Chundong Gao
author_facet Shuai Chen
Mengmeng Hao
Fangyu Ding
Dong Jiang
Jiping Dong
Shize Zhang
Qiquan Guo
Chundong Gao
author_sort Shuai Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cybercrime is wreaking havoc on the global economy, national security, social stability, and individual interests. The current efforts to mitigate cybercrime threats are primarily focused on technical measures. This study considers cybercrime as a social phenomenon and constructs a theoretical framework that integrates the social, economic, political, technological, and cybersecurity factors that influence cybercrime. The FireHOL IP blocklist, a novel cybersecurity data set, is used to map worldwide subnational cybercrimes. Generalised linear models (GLMs) are used to identify the primary factors influencing cybercrime, whereas structural equation modelling (SEM) is used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of various factors on cybercrime. The GLM results suggest that the inclusion of a broad set of socioeconomic factors can significantly improve the model’s explanatory power, and cybercrime is closely associated with socioeconomic development, while their effects on cybercrime differ by income level. Additionally, results from SEM further reveals the causal relationships between cybercrime and numerous contextual factors, demonstrating that technological factors serve as a mediator between socioeconomic conditions and cybercrime.
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spelling doaj.art-0a83216816ac435e87c71d6a63a3dc352023-03-22T10:43:10ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922023-02-0110111010.1057/s41599-023-01560-xExploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forcesShuai Chen0Mengmeng Hao1Fangyu Ding2Dong Jiang3Jiping Dong4Shize Zhang5Qiquan Guo6Chundong Gao7Institute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesBig Data Center of State Grid Corporation of ChinaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Nature Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesThe Administrative Bureau of Chinese Academy of SciencesAbstract Cybercrime is wreaking havoc on the global economy, national security, social stability, and individual interests. The current efforts to mitigate cybercrime threats are primarily focused on technical measures. This study considers cybercrime as a social phenomenon and constructs a theoretical framework that integrates the social, economic, political, technological, and cybersecurity factors that influence cybercrime. The FireHOL IP blocklist, a novel cybersecurity data set, is used to map worldwide subnational cybercrimes. Generalised linear models (GLMs) are used to identify the primary factors influencing cybercrime, whereas structural equation modelling (SEM) is used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of various factors on cybercrime. The GLM results suggest that the inclusion of a broad set of socioeconomic factors can significantly improve the model’s explanatory power, and cybercrime is closely associated with socioeconomic development, while their effects on cybercrime differ by income level. Additionally, results from SEM further reveals the causal relationships between cybercrime and numerous contextual factors, demonstrating that technological factors serve as a mediator between socioeconomic conditions and cybercrime.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x
spellingShingle Shuai Chen
Mengmeng Hao
Fangyu Ding
Dong Jiang
Jiping Dong
Shize Zhang
Qiquan Guo
Chundong Gao
Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
title_full Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
title_fullStr Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
title_short Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
title_sort exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x
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