Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders

This study examines the effect of government's military, education and health expenditure on the longevity of Sub-Saharan Africa state leaders. This research is particularly important in the context of Sub-Saharan Africa, a region where public expenditure on education and health is relatively l...

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Main Author: Michel Armel Ndayikeza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-09-01
Series:Scientific African
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227621002337
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author Michel Armel Ndayikeza
author_facet Michel Armel Ndayikeza
author_sort Michel Armel Ndayikeza
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the effect of government's military, education and health expenditure on the longevity of Sub-Saharan Africa state leaders. This research is particularly important in the context of Sub-Saharan Africa, a region where public expenditure on education and health is relatively low despite these sectors having been long identified in the economic literature as pillars of economic development. The study uses a survival model with a sample of 81 office periods from 37 Sub-Saharan Africa countries for the period 2000 to 2017. Potential endogeneity is addressed using instrumental variables. The data shows that, after 10 years in office, government expenditure per capita on the military increases on average while it decreases for education and health. Furthermore, autocratic leaders spend more on the military than democratic ones, and the reverse for education and health expenditure. Although the data shows a positive correlation between military expenditure and leaders’ longevity, the regression analysis does not identify a causal effect of military spending on duration in office. The analysis also shows that education and health expenditures do not influence duration in office. This latter finding points to the necessity of reforming governance in the region in order to better align leaders’ incentives with the social needs of the general population.
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spelling doaj.art-0acfbc7468c346f5a69c04cb702b95a32022-12-21T21:29:01ZengElsevierScientific African2468-22762021-09-0113e00929Government expenditure and longevity of African leadersMichel Armel Ndayikeza0University of Burundi, Department of Economics, Bujumbura, Burundi, 2 Avenue de l'Unesco, Bujumbura, BURUNDI; University of Clermont Auvergne, Department of Economics, Clermont-Ferrand, FranceThis study examines the effect of government's military, education and health expenditure on the longevity of Sub-Saharan Africa state leaders. This research is particularly important in the context of Sub-Saharan Africa, a region where public expenditure on education and health is relatively low despite these sectors having been long identified in the economic literature as pillars of economic development. The study uses a survival model with a sample of 81 office periods from 37 Sub-Saharan Africa countries for the period 2000 to 2017. Potential endogeneity is addressed using instrumental variables. The data shows that, after 10 years in office, government expenditure per capita on the military increases on average while it decreases for education and health. Furthermore, autocratic leaders spend more on the military than democratic ones, and the reverse for education and health expenditure. Although the data shows a positive correlation between military expenditure and leaders’ longevity, the regression analysis does not identify a causal effect of military spending on duration in office. The analysis also shows that education and health expenditures do not influence duration in office. This latter finding points to the necessity of reforming governance in the region in order to better align leaders’ incentives with the social needs of the general population.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227621002337H51H52H56C41D72
spellingShingle Michel Armel Ndayikeza
Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
Scientific African
H51
H52
H56
C41
D72
title Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
title_full Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
title_fullStr Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
title_full_unstemmed Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
title_short Government expenditure and longevity of African leaders
title_sort government expenditure and longevity of african leaders
topic H51
H52
H56
C41
D72
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227621002337
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