Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis

In August 2018, Turkey experienced a major economic crisis when its exchange rate depreciated by around 40 percent in the course of just a few days. This led to a credit bust that soon dragged Turkey into a recession. This paper analysis Turkey’s predicament using the stock-flow consistent sectoral...

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Main Authors: Sashi SIVRAMKRISHNA, Dhruva Teja NANDIPATI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2019-12-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1424.pdf
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author Sashi SIVRAMKRISHNA
Dhruva Teja NANDIPATI
author_facet Sashi SIVRAMKRISHNA
Dhruva Teja NANDIPATI
author_sort Sashi SIVRAMKRISHNA
collection DOAJ
description In August 2018, Turkey experienced a major economic crisis when its exchange rate depreciated by around 40 percent in the course of just a few days. This led to a credit bust that soon dragged Turkey into a recession. This paper analysis Turkey’s predicament using the stock-flow consistent sectoral financial balances (SFB) model to delineate and evaluate the policy options open to Turkey at a juncture where the private sector has commenced a process of deleveraging or in other words, reducing its net financial accumulation of liabilities. Since the crisis erupted, Turkey has tightened both monetary and fiscal policies to control accelerating inflation and the depreciating lira, which would then – it is hoped – revive investment and exports. However, prevailing uncertainties on account of deteriorating Turkish-US relations may prove a dampener on the success of these policies.
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spelling doaj.art-0b0f4b025fe24f7f96638a310b292f832022-12-22T00:55:45ZengGeneral Association of Economists from RomaniaTheoretical and Applied Economics1841-86781844-00292019-12-01XXVI411112818418678Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysisSashi SIVRAMKRISHNA0Dhruva Teja NANDIPATI1 Kautilya Entrepreneurship & Management Institute & Foundation to Aid Industrial Recovery,Bengaluru, India Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies, Bengaluru, India In August 2018, Turkey experienced a major economic crisis when its exchange rate depreciated by around 40 percent in the course of just a few days. This led to a credit bust that soon dragged Turkey into a recession. This paper analysis Turkey’s predicament using the stock-flow consistent sectoral financial balances (SFB) model to delineate and evaluate the policy options open to Turkey at a juncture where the private sector has commenced a process of deleveraging or in other words, reducing its net financial accumulation of liabilities. Since the crisis erupted, Turkey has tightened both monetary and fiscal policies to control accelerating inflation and the depreciating lira, which would then – it is hoped – revive investment and exports. However, prevailing uncertainties on account of deteriorating Turkish-US relations may prove a dampener on the success of these policies. http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1424.pdf sectoral financial balancesturkeycurrency crisiscredit leveragingdeleveraging
spellingShingle Sashi SIVRAMKRISHNA
Dhruva Teja NANDIPATI
Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
Theoretical and Applied Economics
sectoral financial balances
turkey
currency crisis
credit leveraging
deleveraging
title Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
title_full Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
title_fullStr Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
title_full_unstemmed Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
title_short Turkey’s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis: A sectoral financial balances analysis
title_sort turkey s macroeconomic policy challenges in the aftermath of the 2018 crisis a sectoral financial balances analysis
topic sectoral financial balances
turkey
currency crisis
credit leveraging
deleveraging
url http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1424.pdf
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