COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come
ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the epidemic of COVID-19 in northeastern Brazil, one of the regions most affected by the virus. METHODS The official data for COVID-19, from March 2020 to March 2021 in the states of the Northeast Region (NE), were used. The analysis of capital cities and states for...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universidade de São Paulo
2021-06-01
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| Series: | Revista de Saúde Pública |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102021000100226&tlng=pt |
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| author | Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerr Carl Kendall Rosa Lívia Freitas de Almeida Maria Yury Ichihara Estela Maria L Aquino Antônio Augusto Moura da Silva Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximenes Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de Albuquerque Naomar Almeida-Filho Rafael Felipe Souza Sinval Pinto Brandão Filho Wayner Vieira de Souza Maurício Lima Barreto |
| author_facet | Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerr Carl Kendall Rosa Lívia Freitas de Almeida Maria Yury Ichihara Estela Maria L Aquino Antônio Augusto Moura da Silva Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximenes Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de Albuquerque Naomar Almeida-Filho Rafael Felipe Souza Sinval Pinto Brandão Filho Wayner Vieira de Souza Maurício Lima Barreto |
| author_sort | Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerr |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the epidemic of COVID-19 in northeastern Brazil, one of the regions most affected by the virus. METHODS The official data for COVID-19, from March 2020 to March 2021 in the states of the Northeast Region (NE), were used. The analysis of capital cities and states for accumulated weekly cases and confirmed deaths was made using the JoinPoint Trend Analysis application. RESULTS In one year, the Northeast region reported 22.9% of the cases and 21.5% of the deaths in the country due to COVID-19. At the beginning of the pandemic, all states showed a growing number of cases, first in the capitals and then in the interior. Following this wave, decreases are observed in all states and their capitals, but with many still reporting a large number of cases. In the middle of the 2nd semester of 2020 the number of cases begins to increase again simultaneously in states and their capitals—some at explosive speed—especially in late 2020 and early 2021. A similar pattern is observed in deaths, which exceed or approach the peak seen in the first wave. In the first wave, all capitals and northeastern states adopted intense isolation measures. Fortaleza, Recife and Teresina reached the highest isolation index of all capitals, close to 0.60. This index decreases, with a slight growth trend until the end of December. With the exception of Fortaleza and Salvador, the other capitals fell to less than 0.40. CONCLUSION The Brazilian NE and the country are in increasingly complicated health, social and economic situations. It is necessary to speed up vaccinations and maintain non-pharmacological measures: face masks, social distancing measures and hygiene care, in addition to policies to protect workers who have lost their incomes and to subsidize small business owners. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T17:16:34Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-0b27b2a6f17e429ea9432776edd9a54a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1518-8787 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T17:16:34Z |
| publishDate | 2021-06-01 |
| publisher | Universidade de São Paulo |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista de Saúde Pública |
| spelling | doaj.art-0b27b2a6f17e429ea9432776edd9a54a2022-12-22T04:12:38ZengUniversidade de São PauloRevista de Saúde Pública1518-87872021-06-015510.11606/s1518-8787.2021055003728COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to comeLigia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerrhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4941-408XCarl Kendallhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0794-4333Rosa Lívia Freitas de Almeidahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6423-543XMaria Yury Ichiharahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8590-6212Estela Maria L Aquinohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8204-1249Antônio Augusto Moura da Silvahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4968-5138Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximeneshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9951-8840Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de Albuquerquehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4999-4160Naomar Almeida-Filhohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4435-755XRafael Felipe Souzahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0484-0782Sinval Pinto Brandão Filhohttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3768-2810Wayner Vieira de Souzahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0939-9332Maurício Lima Barretohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0215-4930ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the epidemic of COVID-19 in northeastern Brazil, one of the regions most affected by the virus. METHODS The official data for COVID-19, from March 2020 to March 2021 in the states of the Northeast Region (NE), were used. The analysis of capital cities and states for accumulated weekly cases and confirmed deaths was made using the JoinPoint Trend Analysis application. RESULTS In one year, the Northeast region reported 22.9% of the cases and 21.5% of the deaths in the country due to COVID-19. At the beginning of the pandemic, all states showed a growing number of cases, first in the capitals and then in the interior. Following this wave, decreases are observed in all states and their capitals, but with many still reporting a large number of cases. In the middle of the 2nd semester of 2020 the number of cases begins to increase again simultaneously in states and their capitals—some at explosive speed—especially in late 2020 and early 2021. A similar pattern is observed in deaths, which exceed or approach the peak seen in the first wave. In the first wave, all capitals and northeastern states adopted intense isolation measures. Fortaleza, Recife and Teresina reached the highest isolation index of all capitals, close to 0.60. This index decreases, with a slight growth trend until the end of December. With the exception of Fortaleza and Salvador, the other capitals fell to less than 0.40. CONCLUSION The Brazilian NE and the country are in increasingly complicated health, social and economic situations. It is necessary to speed up vaccinations and maintain non-pharmacological measures: face masks, social distancing measures and hygiene care, in addition to policies to protect workers who have lost their incomes and to subsidize small business owners.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102021000100226&tlng=ptCoronavirus Infections, epidemiologyCommunicable Diseases, Emerging, prevention & controlPandemicsEpidemiology, Descriptive |
| spellingShingle | Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerr Carl Kendall Rosa Lívia Freitas de Almeida Maria Yury Ichihara Estela Maria L Aquino Antônio Augusto Moura da Silva Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximenes Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de Albuquerque Naomar Almeida-Filho Rafael Felipe Souza Sinval Pinto Brandão Filho Wayner Vieira de Souza Maurício Lima Barreto COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come Revista de Saúde Pública Coronavirus Infections, epidemiology Communicable Diseases, Emerging, prevention & control Pandemics Epidemiology, Descriptive |
| title | COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| title_full | COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| title_fullStr | COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| title_short | COVID-19 in northeast Brazil: first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| title_sort | covid 19 in northeast brazil first year of the pandemic and uncertainties to come |
| topic | Coronavirus Infections, epidemiology Communicable Diseases, Emerging, prevention & control Pandemics Epidemiology, Descriptive |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89102021000100226&tlng=pt |
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