Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms

In the literature, new machine learning algorithms are dynamically produced in the field of artificial intelligence engineering and the algorithms are constantly updated with new parameter estimations. The performance of existing algorithms in various business areas is still an important topic of di...

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Main Authors: Çetin Ali I˙hsan, Ahmed Syed Ejaz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2023-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/46/e3sconf_icmsem2023_05013.pdf
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author Çetin Ali I˙hsan
Ahmed Syed Ejaz
author_facet Çetin Ali I˙hsan
Ahmed Syed Ejaz
author_sort Çetin Ali I˙hsan
collection DOAJ
description In the literature, new machine learning algorithms are dynamically produced in the field of artificial intelligence engineering and the algorithms are constantly updated with new parameter estimations. The performance of existing algorithms in various business areas is still an important topic of discussion. Also, machine learning algorithms are frequently used in long-term credit ratings, which is an crucially important sub-branch of finance. This study was conducted to determine which popular machine learning model performs better in credit scoring. Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine and K Nearest Neighbor were used to determine the algorithm that is suitable for the structure, attribute content and distribution of the data, and the operating logic of the models. In the study, the long-term credit rating is the target variable and the remaining variables are the features, the prediction performances of these 4 algorithm, which are frequently used in previous studies such as credit rating, credit risk, fraud analysis were compared. After data preprocessing, a classification study was carried out using the features included in the model. The metrics used in the comparison are MSE, RMSE, MAE and accuracy. According to the metrics, RF algorithm showed the best performance in the credit scoring.
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spelling doaj.art-0b390819f98647bdab257504f8fc91c12023-08-02T13:21:23ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422023-01-014090501310.1051/e3sconf/202340905013e3sconf_icmsem2023_05013Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning AlgorithmsÇetin Ali I˙hsan0Ahmed Syed Ejaz1Statistics Dep., Faculty of Science, Yildiz Technical UniversityFaculty of Math & Science, Brock UniversityIn the literature, new machine learning algorithms are dynamically produced in the field of artificial intelligence engineering and the algorithms are constantly updated with new parameter estimations. The performance of existing algorithms in various business areas is still an important topic of discussion. Also, machine learning algorithms are frequently used in long-term credit ratings, which is an crucially important sub-branch of finance. This study was conducted to determine which popular machine learning model performs better in credit scoring. Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine and K Nearest Neighbor were used to determine the algorithm that is suitable for the structure, attribute content and distribution of the data, and the operating logic of the models. In the study, the long-term credit rating is the target variable and the remaining variables are the features, the prediction performances of these 4 algorithm, which are frequently used in previous studies such as credit rating, credit risk, fraud analysis were compared. After data preprocessing, a classification study was carried out using the features included in the model. The metrics used in the comparison are MSE, RMSE, MAE and accuracy. According to the metrics, RF algorithm showed the best performance in the credit scoring.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/46/e3sconf_icmsem2023_05013.pdfmachine learningclassificationfinancedata mining
spellingShingle Çetin Ali I˙hsan
Ahmed Syed Ejaz
Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
E3S Web of Conferences
machine learning
classification
finance
data mining
title Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
title_full Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
title_fullStr Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
title_short Determinants of Credit Ratings and Comparison of the Rating Prediction Performances of Machine Learning Algorithms
title_sort determinants of credit ratings and comparison of the rating prediction performances of machine learning algorithms
topic machine learning
classification
finance
data mining
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/46/e3sconf_icmsem2023_05013.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT cetinaliihsan determinantsofcreditratingsandcomparisonoftheratingpredictionperformancesofmachinelearningalgorithms
AT ahmedsyedejaz determinantsofcreditratingsandcomparisonoftheratingpredictionperformancesofmachinelearningalgorithms