Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis

This study examines determinants of bicycle volume in the built environment with a five-year bicycle count dataset from Seattle, Washington. A generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is used to capture the bicycle volume change over time while controlling for temporal autocorrelations. The GLMM assume...

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Main Authors: Peng Chen, Jiangping Zhou, Feiyang Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Minnesota 2017-06-01
Series:Journal of Transport and Land Use
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jtlu.org/index.php/jtlu/article/view/892
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author Peng Chen
Jiangping Zhou
Feiyang Sun
author_facet Peng Chen
Jiangping Zhou
Feiyang Sun
author_sort Peng Chen
collection DOAJ
description This study examines determinants of bicycle volume in the built environment with a five-year bicycle count dataset from Seattle, Washington. A generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is used to capture the bicycle volume change over time while controlling for temporal autocorrelations. The GLMM assumes that bicycle count follows a Poisson distribution. The model results show that (1) the variables of non-winter seasons, peak hours, and weekends are positively associated with the increase of bicycle counts over time; (2) bicycle counts are fewer in steep areas; (3) bicycle counts are greater in zones with more mixed land use, a higher percentage of water bodies, or a greater percentage of workplaces; (4) the increment of bicycle infrastructure is positively associated with the increase of bicycle volume; and (5) bicycling is more popular in neighborhoods with a greater percentage of whites and younger adults. It concludes that areas with a smaller slope variation, a higher employment density, and a shorter distance to water bodies encourage bicycling. This conclusion suggests that to best boost bicycling, decision-makers should consider building more bicycle facilities in flat areas and integrating the facilities with employment densification and open-space creation and planning.
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spelling doaj.art-0b5c1d3c3eed45989efed746c4df2d452022-12-21T18:31:18ZengUniversity of MinnesotaJournal of Transport and Land Use1938-78492017-06-0110110.5198/jtlu.2017.892266Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysisPeng Chen0Jiangping Zhou1Feiyang Sun2Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen CampusUniversity of Hong KongUniversity of WashingtonThis study examines determinants of bicycle volume in the built environment with a five-year bicycle count dataset from Seattle, Washington. A generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is used to capture the bicycle volume change over time while controlling for temporal autocorrelations. The GLMM assumes that bicycle count follows a Poisson distribution. The model results show that (1) the variables of non-winter seasons, peak hours, and weekends are positively associated with the increase of bicycle counts over time; (2) bicycle counts are fewer in steep areas; (3) bicycle counts are greater in zones with more mixed land use, a higher percentage of water bodies, or a greater percentage of workplaces; (4) the increment of bicycle infrastructure is positively associated with the increase of bicycle volume; and (5) bicycling is more popular in neighborhoods with a greater percentage of whites and younger adults. It concludes that areas with a smaller slope variation, a higher employment density, and a shorter distance to water bodies encourage bicycling. This conclusion suggests that to best boost bicycling, decision-makers should consider building more bicycle facilities in flat areas and integrating the facilities with employment densification and open-space creation and planning.https://www.jtlu.org/index.php/jtlu/article/view/892bicycle volumebuilt environmentlongitudinal data analysisgeneralized linear mixed model
spellingShingle Peng Chen
Jiangping Zhou
Feiyang Sun
Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
Journal of Transport and Land Use
bicycle volume
built environment
longitudinal data analysis
generalized linear mixed model
title Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
title_full Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
title_fullStr Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
title_full_unstemmed Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
title_short Built environment determinants of bicycle volume: A longitudinal analysis
title_sort built environment determinants of bicycle volume a longitudinal analysis
topic bicycle volume
built environment
longitudinal data analysis
generalized linear mixed model
url https://www.jtlu.org/index.php/jtlu/article/view/892
work_keys_str_mv AT pengchen builtenvironmentdeterminantsofbicyclevolumealongitudinalanalysis
AT jiangpingzhou builtenvironmentdeterminantsofbicyclevolumealongitudinalanalysis
AT feiyangsun builtenvironmentdeterminantsofbicyclevolumealongitudinalanalysis