Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries

Combatting climate change necessitates a substantial global increase in renewable electricity capacity. Many low-income and lower-middle-income countries suffer from unfavorable green financing conditions. Fifteen of these countries possess substantial natural gas reserves. To overcome green financi...

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Main Authors: Majd Olleik, Hassan Hamie, Hans Auer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/5/1651
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author Majd Olleik
Hassan Hamie
Hans Auer
author_facet Majd Olleik
Hassan Hamie
Hans Auer
author_sort Majd Olleik
collection DOAJ
description Combatting climate change necessitates a substantial global increase in renewable electricity capacity. Many low-income and lower-middle-income countries suffer from unfavorable green financing conditions. Fifteen of these countries possess substantial natural gas reserves. To overcome green financing constraints in such countries, we propose an integrated energy contract that awards a renewable energy project in parallel with an upstream natural gas project to interested energy companies. The state returns from the natural gas project provide a guarantee for renewable energy investments, reducing their associated risks. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations for each of the targeted countries after populating the input parameters for the upstream natural gas and renewable energy projects, including forecasting country-specific natural gas prices. When accounting for 10% of their existing natural gas reserves in the proposed contract, Nigeria, Myanmar, and Indonesia can achieve more than 60% of their 2030 renewable energy target capacity additions while countries with low access to electricity can significantly upscale their installed capacities. The guarantee mechanism provides protection levels exceeding 96% on renewable energy investments. The proposed contract enables the considered countries to increase their renewable energy capacities while inducing economic development.
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spelling doaj.art-0b789b2806fd49d3a8bcaea4eb190daa2023-11-23T22:55:27ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-02-01155165110.3390/en15051651Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income CountriesMajd Olleik0Hassan Hamie1Hans Auer2Energy Economics Group (EEG), Institute of Energy Systems and Electrical Drives, Vienna University of Technology, 1040 Vienna, AustriaIndependent Researcher, Beirut 10999, LebanonEnergy Economics Group (EEG), Institute of Energy Systems and Electrical Drives, Vienna University of Technology, 1040 Vienna, AustriaCombatting climate change necessitates a substantial global increase in renewable electricity capacity. Many low-income and lower-middle-income countries suffer from unfavorable green financing conditions. Fifteen of these countries possess substantial natural gas reserves. To overcome green financing constraints in such countries, we propose an integrated energy contract that awards a renewable energy project in parallel with an upstream natural gas project to interested energy companies. The state returns from the natural gas project provide a guarantee for renewable energy investments, reducing their associated risks. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations for each of the targeted countries after populating the input parameters for the upstream natural gas and renewable energy projects, including forecasting country-specific natural gas prices. When accounting for 10% of their existing natural gas reserves in the proposed contract, Nigeria, Myanmar, and Indonesia can achieve more than 60% of their 2030 renewable energy target capacity additions while countries with low access to electricity can significantly upscale their installed capacities. The guarantee mechanism provides protection levels exceeding 96% on renewable energy investments. The proposed contract enables the considered countries to increase their renewable energy capacities while inducing economic development.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/5/1651natural gasrenewable energyupstream oil and gasdeveloping countriesclimate changeinvestment risks
spellingShingle Majd Olleik
Hassan Hamie
Hans Auer
Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
Energies
natural gas
renewable energy
upstream oil and gas
developing countries
climate change
investment risks
title Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
title_full Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
title_fullStr Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
title_full_unstemmed Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
title_short Using Natural Gas Resources to De-Risk Renewable Energy Investments in Lower-Income Countries
title_sort using natural gas resources to de risk renewable energy investments in lower income countries
topic natural gas
renewable energy
upstream oil and gas
developing countries
climate change
investment risks
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/5/1651
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