Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties

According to the academic debate, the populist radical right is particularly successful in regions that have been left behind economically or culturally. Although civic engagement in networks of civil society, a specific form of social capital, seems important, its influence remains ambiguous. In co...

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Main Author: Stephan Schütze
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/12/8/426
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author Stephan Schütze
author_facet Stephan Schütze
author_sort Stephan Schütze
collection DOAJ
description According to the academic debate, the populist radical right is particularly successful in regions that have been left behind economically or culturally. Although civic engagement in networks of civil society, a specific form of social capital, seems important, its influence remains ambiguous. In contrast, regional out-migration as a social dimension of being left behind receives limited attention despite the relevance of internal migration to political geography. This study investigates two theoretically possible models to clarify the relationships between regional out-migration, civic engagement, and their impacts on voting for the populist radical right. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and official regional statistics, logistic multilevel analyses are conducted for Germany and the election of the AfD (Alternative for Germany) in the 2017 federal election. The key finding of the cross-sectional analysis is that regional out-migration is a condition that moderates the relationship between civic participation and the election of the AfD. In general, civically involved individuals support established democratic parties, but in regions with high out-migration, they tend to vote for the populist radical right. However, there is no empirical evidence that regional out-migration contributes to the election of the AfD by reducing civic engagement and being mediated by it.
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spelling doaj.art-0b7d864fb8ee41f2ba279a5c8ae482e62023-11-19T03:01:01ZengMDPI AGSocial Sciences2076-07602023-07-0112842610.3390/socsci12080426Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right PartiesStephan Schütze0Faculty of Sociology, Bielefeld University, 33615 Bielefeld, GermanyAccording to the academic debate, the populist radical right is particularly successful in regions that have been left behind economically or culturally. Although civic engagement in networks of civil society, a specific form of social capital, seems important, its influence remains ambiguous. In contrast, regional out-migration as a social dimension of being left behind receives limited attention despite the relevance of internal migration to political geography. This study investigates two theoretically possible models to clarify the relationships between regional out-migration, civic engagement, and their impacts on voting for the populist radical right. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and official regional statistics, logistic multilevel analyses are conducted for Germany and the election of the AfD (Alternative for Germany) in the 2017 federal election. The key finding of the cross-sectional analysis is that regional out-migration is a condition that moderates the relationship between civic participation and the election of the AfD. In general, civically involved individuals support established democratic parties, but in regions with high out-migration, they tend to vote for the populist radical right. However, there is no empirical evidence that regional out-migration contributes to the election of the AfD by reducing civic engagement and being mediated by it.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/12/8/426internal migrationregional out-migrationleft behind placessocial capitalcivic engagementvoting behavior
spellingShingle Stephan Schütze
Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
Social Sciences
internal migration
regional out-migration
left behind places
social capital
civic engagement
voting behavior
title Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
title_full Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
title_fullStr Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
title_full_unstemmed Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
title_short Left Behind Together and Voting for Populism: Regional Out-Migration, Civic Engagement and the Electoral Success of Populist Radical Right Parties
title_sort left behind together and voting for populism regional out migration civic engagement and the electoral success of populist radical right parties
topic internal migration
regional out-migration
left behind places
social capital
civic engagement
voting behavior
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/12/8/426
work_keys_str_mv AT stephanschutze leftbehindtogetherandvotingforpopulismregionaloutmigrationcivicengagementandtheelectoralsuccessofpopulistradicalrightparties