Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach

The paper traces financial and non-financial variables that prompt external debt distress in Pakistan. It explains that the economic vulnerability emanates from macroeconomic imbalances and structural problems. The macroeconomic imbalances deeply connect with global oil crisis, the Russia-Ukraine wa...

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Main Author: Muhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Pluto Journals 2023-05-01
Series:Policy Perspectives
Online Access:https://www.scienceopen.com/hosted-document?doi=10.13169/polipers.20.1.ra4
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author Muhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary
author_facet Muhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary
author_sort Muhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary
collection DOAJ
description The paper traces financial and non-financial variables that prompt external debt distress in Pakistan. It explains that the economic vulnerability emanates from macroeconomic imbalances and structural problems. The macroeconomic imbalances deeply connect with global oil crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war and non-compliance with mutually agreed International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditionalities in the short run. However, the structural reasons are rising oil expenses, growing domestic political scandals, increasing terrorist attacks, and high spending on military imports. The paper recommends formulating a publicly available blueprint i.e. theory of change to resolve Pakistan’s increased reliance on transnational lenders, including the IMF. It should include innovative policies to initiate the green revolution that could replace intermittent nonrenewable resources to incrementally lower oil imports. Moreover, to increase growth in the non-military sector employing non-kinetic means and engaging transnational governance entities to resolve geopolitical conflicts would reduce reliance on military sector. The paper concludes that undergoing policy innovation for environmental and economic sustainability, is inevitable for gaining benefits from global renewable energy transition and avoiding debt distress.
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spelling doaj.art-0bd0699cd3d3417db85b11e71e106d472024-03-21T16:00:09ZengPluto JournalsPolicy Perspectives1812-18291812-73472023-05-01201617610.13169/polipers.20.1.ra4Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required ApproachMuhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary0University of Sydney, Sydney, AustraliaThe paper traces financial and non-financial variables that prompt external debt distress in Pakistan. It explains that the economic vulnerability emanates from macroeconomic imbalances and structural problems. The macroeconomic imbalances deeply connect with global oil crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war and non-compliance with mutually agreed International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditionalities in the short run. However, the structural reasons are rising oil expenses, growing domestic political scandals, increasing terrorist attacks, and high spending on military imports. The paper recommends formulating a publicly available blueprint i.e. theory of change to resolve Pakistan’s increased reliance on transnational lenders, including the IMF. It should include innovative policies to initiate the green revolution that could replace intermittent nonrenewable resources to incrementally lower oil imports. Moreover, to increase growth in the non-military sector employing non-kinetic means and engaging transnational governance entities to resolve geopolitical conflicts would reduce reliance on military sector. The paper concludes that undergoing policy innovation for environmental and economic sustainability, is inevitable for gaining benefits from global renewable energy transition and avoiding debt distress.https://www.scienceopen.com/hosted-document?doi=10.13169/polipers.20.1.ra4
spellingShingle Muhammad Sikandar Ali Chaudary
Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
Policy Perspectives
title Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
title_full Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
title_fullStr Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
title_full_unstemmed Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
title_short Pakistan’s External Debt Unsustainability and the Required Approach
title_sort pakistan s external debt unsustainability and the required approach
url https://www.scienceopen.com/hosted-document?doi=10.13169/polipers.20.1.ra4
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