Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates

Abstract Bioenergetics models estimate ectotherm growth, production, and prey consumption – all key for effective ecosystem management during changing global temperatures. Based on species‐specific allometric and thermodynamic relationships, these models typically use the species' lab‐derived o...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Silviya V. Ivanova, Aaron T. Fisk, Timothy B. Johnson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-02-01
Series:Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10974
_version_ 1827572787175227392
author Silviya V. Ivanova
Aaron T. Fisk
Timothy B. Johnson
author_facet Silviya V. Ivanova
Aaron T. Fisk
Timothy B. Johnson
author_sort Silviya V. Ivanova
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Bioenergetics models estimate ectotherm growth, production, and prey consumption – all key for effective ecosystem management during changing global temperatures. Based on species‐specific allometric and thermodynamic relationships, these models typically use the species' lab‐derived optimum temperatures (physiological optimum) as opposed to empirical field data (realized thermal niche) that reflect actual thermal experience. Yet, dynamic behavioral thermoregulation mediated by biotic and abiotic interactions may provide substantial divergence between physiological optimum and realized thermal niche temperatures to significantly bias model outcomes. Here, using the Wisconsin bioenergetics model and in‐situ year‐round temperature data, we tested the two approaches and compared the maximum attainable lifetime weight and lifetime prey consumption estimates for two salmonid species with differing life histories. We demonstrate that using the realized thermal niche is the better approach because it eliminates significant biases in estimates produced by the physiological optimum. Specifically, using the physiological optimum, slower‐growing Salvelinus namaycush maximum attainable lifetime weight was underestimated, and consumption overestimated, while fast‐growing Oncorhynchus tshawytscha maximum attainable weight was overestimated. While the physiological optimum approach is useful for theoretical studies, our results demonstrate the critical importance that models used by management utilize up‐to‐date system‐ and species‐specific field data representing actual in‐situ behaviors (i.e., realized thermal niche).
first_indexed 2024-03-07T19:28:35Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0bd248c10bde408d8d3e9f78adbaa531
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-7758
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T19:28:35Z
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Ecology and Evolution
spelling doaj.art-0bd248c10bde408d8d3e9f78adbaa5312024-02-29T08:56:39ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582024-02-01142n/an/a10.1002/ece3.10974Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimatesSilviya V. Ivanova0Aaron T. Fisk1Timothy B. Johnson2Great Lakes Institute for Environmental Research University of Windsor Windsor Ontario CanadaSchool of the Environment University of Windsor Windsor Ontario CanadaOntario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry Picton Ontario CanadaAbstract Bioenergetics models estimate ectotherm growth, production, and prey consumption – all key for effective ecosystem management during changing global temperatures. Based on species‐specific allometric and thermodynamic relationships, these models typically use the species' lab‐derived optimum temperatures (physiological optimum) as opposed to empirical field data (realized thermal niche) that reflect actual thermal experience. Yet, dynamic behavioral thermoregulation mediated by biotic and abiotic interactions may provide substantial divergence between physiological optimum and realized thermal niche temperatures to significantly bias model outcomes. Here, using the Wisconsin bioenergetics model and in‐situ year‐round temperature data, we tested the two approaches and compared the maximum attainable lifetime weight and lifetime prey consumption estimates for two salmonid species with differing life histories. We demonstrate that using the realized thermal niche is the better approach because it eliminates significant biases in estimates produced by the physiological optimum. Specifically, using the physiological optimum, slower‐growing Salvelinus namaycush maximum attainable lifetime weight was underestimated, and consumption overestimated, while fast‐growing Oncorhynchus tshawytscha maximum attainable weight was overestimated. While the physiological optimum approach is useful for theoretical studies, our results demonstrate the critical importance that models used by management utilize up‐to‐date system‐ and species‐specific field data representing actual in‐situ behaviors (i.e., realized thermal niche).https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10974behaviorbioenergeticsmodel biasprey consumptionrealized nichethermal occupancy
spellingShingle Silviya V. Ivanova
Aaron T. Fisk
Timothy B. Johnson
Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
Ecology and Evolution
behavior
bioenergetics
model bias
prey consumption
realized niche
thermal occupancy
title Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
title_full Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
title_fullStr Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
title_full_unstemmed Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
title_short Realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
title_sort realized thermal niche approach eliminates temperature bias in bioenergetic model estimates
topic behavior
bioenergetics
model bias
prey consumption
realized niche
thermal occupancy
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.10974
work_keys_str_mv AT silviyavivanova realizedthermalnicheapproacheliminatestemperaturebiasinbioenergeticmodelestimates
AT aarontfisk realizedthermalnicheapproacheliminatestemperaturebiasinbioenergeticmodelestimates
AT timothybjohnson realizedthermalnicheapproacheliminatestemperaturebiasinbioenergeticmodelestimates