Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific

The characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) and their response to climate change is an issue of broad concern. Based on the Power Dissipation Index (PDI) proposed by Emanuel in 2005, the destructiveness of TCs in the typhoon season (July–October) during the period 1979–2016 over the western North...

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Main Authors: Shifei Tu, Feng Xu, Jianjun Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2018-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aade3a
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author Shifei Tu
Feng Xu
Jianjun Xu
author_facet Shifei Tu
Feng Xu
Jianjun Xu
author_sort Shifei Tu
collection DOAJ
description The characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) and their response to climate change is an issue of broad concern. Based on the Power Dissipation Index (PDI) proposed by Emanuel in 2005, the destructiveness of TCs in the typhoon season (July–October) during the period 1979–2016 over the western North Pacific is investigated. Results show that a regime shift in the destructive potential of TCs took place around 1998. The destructive potential of TCs has a considerable increasing trend from 1998 to 2016 (the P2 period), mainly contributed by the average intensity of TCs (51.20% of PDI change). We find that the PDI of TCs is mainly regulated by the El Niño/Southern Oscillation cycle in whole study period, whereas the Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern shows significant enhancement in P2, which acts as a more important constraint on the typhoon season PDI over the western North Pacific.
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spelling doaj.art-0bf25415ae284d11805b3cca5ed85af92023-08-09T14:38:25ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262018-01-0113909402110.1088/1748-9326/aade3aRegime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North PacificShifei Tu0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3720-6259Feng Xu1Jianjun Xu2South China Sea Institute of Marine Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of China; College of Ocean and Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of ChinaSouth China Sea Institute of Marine Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of China; College of Ocean and Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of ChinaSouth China Sea Institute of Marine Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of China; College of Ocean and Meteorology, Guangdong Ocean University , Zhanjiang, People’s Republic of ChinaThe characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) and their response to climate change is an issue of broad concern. Based on the Power Dissipation Index (PDI) proposed by Emanuel in 2005, the destructiveness of TCs in the typhoon season (July–October) during the period 1979–2016 over the western North Pacific is investigated. Results show that a regime shift in the destructive potential of TCs took place around 1998. The destructive potential of TCs has a considerable increasing trend from 1998 to 2016 (the P2 period), mainly contributed by the average intensity of TCs (51.20% of PDI change). We find that the PDI of TCs is mainly regulated by the El Niño/Southern Oscillation cycle in whole study period, whereas the Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern shows significant enhancement in P2, which acts as a more important constraint on the typhoon season PDI over the western North Pacific.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aade3atropical cyclonespower dissipation indexregime shift
spellingShingle Shifei Tu
Feng Xu
Jianjun Xu
Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
Environmental Research Letters
tropical cyclones
power dissipation index
regime shift
title Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
title_full Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
title_fullStr Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
title_full_unstemmed Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
title_short Regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific
title_sort regime shift in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the western north pacific
topic tropical cyclones
power dissipation index
regime shift
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aade3a
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AT fengxu regimeshiftinthedestructivenessoftropicalcyclonesoverthewesternnorthpacific
AT jianjunxu regimeshiftinthedestructivenessoftropicalcyclonesoverthewesternnorthpacific