Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.

We study 6000 author-publication observations to investigate predictors of early career success in six fields of economics. Concentrating on top researchers enables us to control for the effects of ability and effort, and focusing on the start of their careers minimizes distortions from reputation f...

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Main Author: Sergey V Popov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0278320
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author Sergey V Popov
author_facet Sergey V Popov
author_sort Sergey V Popov
collection DOAJ
description We study 6000 author-publication observations to investigate predictors of early career success in six fields of economics. Concentrating on top researchers enables us to control for the effects of ability and effort, and focusing on the start of their careers minimizes distortions from reputation feedback. Our results reveal that the most important predictor for early career success is the ranking of an author's PhD granting institution, followed by his first placement. Our insights suggest that a counterfactual decrease in the Alma mater of a high ability author, who graduated from a top 10 university, by as little as 10 to 20 ranks, reduces his probability of getting a top 5 publication significantly by 13 percentage points. Lowering the ranking of his Alma mater by another 80 ranks decreases his chances of getting a top publication by a factor of three. Our findings suggest that the economics publication market values Alma mater signals, discounting newcomers graduating from- or working at lower ranked departments.
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spelling doaj.art-0c0934a178334f2ea437a0cfd8744e4b2023-01-11T05:32:39ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-011712e027832010.1371/journal.pone.0278320Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.Sergey V PopovWe study 6000 author-publication observations to investigate predictors of early career success in six fields of economics. Concentrating on top researchers enables us to control for the effects of ability and effort, and focusing on the start of their careers minimizes distortions from reputation feedback. Our results reveal that the most important predictor for early career success is the ranking of an author's PhD granting institution, followed by his first placement. Our insights suggest that a counterfactual decrease in the Alma mater of a high ability author, who graduated from a top 10 university, by as little as 10 to 20 ranks, reduces his probability of getting a top 5 publication significantly by 13 percentage points. Lowering the ranking of his Alma mater by another 80 ranks decreases his chances of getting a top publication by a factor of three. Our findings suggest that the economics publication market values Alma mater signals, discounting newcomers graduating from- or working at lower ranked departments.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0278320
spellingShingle Sergey V Popov
Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
PLoS ONE
title Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
title_full Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
title_fullStr Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
title_full_unstemmed Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
title_short Alma mat(t)er(s): Determinants of early career success in economics.
title_sort alma mat t er s determinants of early career success in economics
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0278320
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