Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.

Assumptions about survival of HIV-infected children in Africa without antiretroviral therapy need to be updated to inform ongoing UNAIDS modelling of paediatric HIV epidemics among children. Improved estimates of infant survival by timing of HIV-infection (perinatally or postnatally) are thus needed...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Renaud Becquet, Milly Marston, François Dabis, Lawrence H Moulton, Glenda Gray, Hoosen M Coovadia, Max Essex, Didier K Ekouevi, Debra Jackson, Anna Coutsoudis, Charles Kilewo, Valériane Leroy, Stefan Z Wiktor, Ruth Nduati, Philippe Msellati, Basia Zaba, Peter D Ghys, Marie-Louise Newell, UNAIDS Child Survival Group
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3285615?pdf=render
_version_ 1818290465224523776
author Renaud Becquet
Milly Marston
François Dabis
Lawrence H Moulton
Glenda Gray
Hoosen M Coovadia
Max Essex
Didier K Ekouevi
Debra Jackson
Anna Coutsoudis
Charles Kilewo
Valériane Leroy
Stefan Z Wiktor
Ruth Nduati
Philippe Msellati
Basia Zaba
Peter D Ghys
Marie-Louise Newell
UNAIDS Child Survival Group
author_facet Renaud Becquet
Milly Marston
François Dabis
Lawrence H Moulton
Glenda Gray
Hoosen M Coovadia
Max Essex
Didier K Ekouevi
Debra Jackson
Anna Coutsoudis
Charles Kilewo
Valériane Leroy
Stefan Z Wiktor
Ruth Nduati
Philippe Msellati
Basia Zaba
Peter D Ghys
Marie-Louise Newell
UNAIDS Child Survival Group
author_sort Renaud Becquet
collection DOAJ
description Assumptions about survival of HIV-infected children in Africa without antiretroviral therapy need to be updated to inform ongoing UNAIDS modelling of paediatric HIV epidemics among children. Improved estimates of infant survival by timing of HIV-infection (perinatally or postnatally) are thus needed.A pooled analysis was conducted of individual data of all available intervention cohorts and randomized trials on prevention of HIV mother-to-child transmission in Africa. Studies were right-censored at the time of infant antiretroviral initiation. Overall mortality rate per 1000 child-years of follow-up was calculated by selected maternal and infant characteristics. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival curves by child's HIV infection status and timing of HIV infection. Individual data from 12 studies were pooled, with 12,112 children of HIV-infected women. Mortality rates per 1,000 child-years follow-up were 39.3 and 381.6 for HIV-uninfected and infected children respectively. One year after acquisition of HIV infection, an estimated 26% postnatally and 52% perinatally infected children would have died; and 4% uninfected children by age 1 year. Mortality was independently associated with maternal death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.2, 95%CI 1.6-3.0), maternal CD4<350 cells/ml (1.4, 1.1-1.7), postnatal (3.1, 2.1-4.1) or peri-partum HIV-infection (12.4, 10.1-15.3).These results update previous work and inform future UNAIDS modelling by providing survival estimates for HIV-infected untreated African children by timing of infection. We highlight the urgent need for the prevention of peri-partum and postnatal transmission and timely assessment of HIV infection in infants to initiate antiretroviral care and support for HIV-infected children.
first_indexed 2024-12-13T02:28:36Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0c1ccf5d9191434283b86f1b15227507
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-13T02:28:36Z
publishDate 2012-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-0c1ccf5d9191434283b86f1b152275072022-12-22T00:02:33ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032012-01-0172e2851010.1371/journal.pone.0028510Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.Renaud BecquetMilly MarstonFrançois DabisLawrence H MoultonGlenda GrayHoosen M CoovadiaMax EssexDidier K EkoueviDebra JacksonAnna CoutsoudisCharles KilewoValériane LeroyStefan Z WiktorRuth NduatiPhilippe MsellatiBasia ZabaPeter D GhysMarie-Louise NewellUNAIDS Child Survival GroupAssumptions about survival of HIV-infected children in Africa without antiretroviral therapy need to be updated to inform ongoing UNAIDS modelling of paediatric HIV epidemics among children. Improved estimates of infant survival by timing of HIV-infection (perinatally or postnatally) are thus needed.A pooled analysis was conducted of individual data of all available intervention cohorts and randomized trials on prevention of HIV mother-to-child transmission in Africa. Studies were right-censored at the time of infant antiretroviral initiation. Overall mortality rate per 1000 child-years of follow-up was calculated by selected maternal and infant characteristics. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival curves by child's HIV infection status and timing of HIV infection. Individual data from 12 studies were pooled, with 12,112 children of HIV-infected women. Mortality rates per 1,000 child-years follow-up were 39.3 and 381.6 for HIV-uninfected and infected children respectively. One year after acquisition of HIV infection, an estimated 26% postnatally and 52% perinatally infected children would have died; and 4% uninfected children by age 1 year. Mortality was independently associated with maternal death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.2, 95%CI 1.6-3.0), maternal CD4<350 cells/ml (1.4, 1.1-1.7), postnatal (3.1, 2.1-4.1) or peri-partum HIV-infection (12.4, 10.1-15.3).These results update previous work and inform future UNAIDS modelling by providing survival estimates for HIV-infected untreated African children by timing of infection. We highlight the urgent need for the prevention of peri-partum and postnatal transmission and timely assessment of HIV infection in infants to initiate antiretroviral care and support for HIV-infected children.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3285615?pdf=render
spellingShingle Renaud Becquet
Milly Marston
François Dabis
Lawrence H Moulton
Glenda Gray
Hoosen M Coovadia
Max Essex
Didier K Ekouevi
Debra Jackson
Anna Coutsoudis
Charles Kilewo
Valériane Leroy
Stefan Z Wiktor
Ruth Nduati
Philippe Msellati
Basia Zaba
Peter D Ghys
Marie-Louise Newell
UNAIDS Child Survival Group
Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
PLoS ONE
title Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
title_full Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
title_fullStr Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
title_short Children who acquire HIV infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk: a meta-analysis.
title_sort children who acquire hiv infection perinatally are at higher risk of early death than those acquiring infection through breastmilk a meta analysis
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3285615?pdf=render
work_keys_str_mv AT renaudbecquet childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT millymarston childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT francoisdabis childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT lawrencehmoulton childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT glendagray childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT hoosenmcoovadia childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT maxessex childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT didierkekouevi childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT debrajackson childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT annacoutsoudis childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT charleskilewo childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT valerianeleroy childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT stefanzwiktor childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT ruthnduati childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT philippemsellati childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT basiazaba childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT peterdghys childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT marielouisenewell childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis
AT unaidschildsurvivalgroup childrenwhoacquirehivinfectionperinatallyareathigherriskofearlydeaththanthoseacquiringinfectionthroughbreastmilkametaanalysis